Daequan Cook and the qualifying offer
http://0rz.tw/7yzRn (Daily Thunder)
前兩篇都講到Cook，今天果然有外電專門講Cook。
Daequan Cook has been on my mind lately. Today is the day that NBA teams get
to actually, you know, speak to their players. And the only real free agent
business we have left is Daequan Cook and the Russell Westbrook extension.
各球隊都要正式開始忙簽約事宜，雷霆現在剩下Russ的續約和Cook了。
以下將略談Daequan Cook。
Daequan was tendered a Qualifying Offer by the Thunder on June 27 for about
$3.1 Million for the upcoming season. What this means is that Daequan was a
first round pick who has completed his fourth season, and received the QO
from his existing team thereby rendering him a restricted free agent (if the
Thunder wouldn’t have offered the QO Cook would be an unrestricted free
agent). This means that the Thunder expect to bring him back for the $3.1 and
have the first right of refusal should some other team offer him a higher
contract offer that he signs. The $3.1 Million figure is 125% of last year’s
salary and is part of the old CBA. It’s certainly possible that Daequan
could receive a higher offer from a team, but I really don’t see that
happening. It’s also possible that Daequan’s representative could negotiate
a different amount or length of a deal independent of the QO, but I also don’
t think that’s likely.
若雷霆沒提供一張QO給Cook(*QO:Qualifying Offer)，Cook將不受到限制。雷霆希望以
$3.1m簽下Cook並且拒絕其他球隊更高價的合約。如果開$3.1m的話將是去年的125%，而且
這將計入舊制的CBA中。目前仍其他球隊來開更大的合約。Cook也可能會想要協調價格及
長度，但作者認為不大有可能。
So we are likely to see Daequan running to the corner waiting for the pass to
hoist up a three quite a few times this season.
I’ve just been wondering if Daequan is worth the money.At $3.1 Million DC
will be earning a few pennies less than Thabo, Nick and Nazr Mohammed, and
roughly double that of Serge or Eric Maynor, guys still playing on their
rookie deals. In context, the money is substantial. Not ridiculous, but
enough that it might make you say “for just shooting corner threes”?
Therein lies my concern.
有人會質疑:Cook不就只是等球偶爾砍三分嗎?他的薪水卻只比沙發、Nick和默罕默德少
一點點，也將近Ibaka和Maynor的兩倍(他們都還是ROOOKIE價)。值得嗎?
Daequan did an excellent job last year. He did exactly what a specialist is
paid to do. He is our gunner off the bench, and he excelled. In fact,
depending on how you calculate it, Daequan was the 4th best 3-point shooter
off the bench in the NBA. He was 11th best overall. Dude made buckets; and he
made them in the clutch, falling down, with a defender running at him.Where I
am concerned is that he hasn’t really done that with regularity throughout
his career. His career could best be describes so far with the term “streak
shooter”. He was on in the second half of last season, but he has been off
as well.
事實上Cook去年表現不錯，是板凳的好射手，以板凳來看，Cook是第四名的三分射手，
以全NBA來排，是第11名。雖然整體而言不算穩定，但是他是一位很好的
"Streak Shooter"
Perhaps you remember the beginning of last season. DQ was given a shot to be
that gunner off the bench out of training camp. His first 7 games he went
5/18 and made only three threes. All five of his makes came in one game-a
loss- to the Clippers. He was then relegated to the end of the bench for over
two months, not playing again until late January. He was off and couldn’t
find his stroke. But later, in January, Brooks called his number and he
caught fire. You know the story.
去年在訓練營中Cook前七場比賽只交出5/18，三球三分的成績，而且都是同一場比賽中。
到一月底Brooks才讓他正式上陣。
After the early season struggles DQ wound up the season 65/144 from deep
which equates to .422%; most excellent. In fact, some interesting context for
Daequan:
‧5th best in the league in Points per play at 1.15
‧3rd highest 3 point shot attempt ratio in the league at 85% (3pt.A/FGA).
‧2nd most 3 point shot attempts per 40 minutes at 10.
‧10th highest league effective field goal percent (eFG%)—only two players
of which were wings—at 62%.
‧He was a +4.78 points per 100 on raw +/- during the season and +3.82 raw in
the playoffs and a +5.43 on one year adjusted +/-.
Cook去年總計是65/144(42.2%)，還有一些統計如下:
*1.15分per play，聯盟第五
*嘗試投三分的比例(3pt.A/FGA)聯盟第三
*每40分鐘嘗試投10次三分，第二高
*effective field goal percent:62%，第十
*per 100 on raw +/-:季賽+4.78，季後賽+3.82，整季數據調整後(adjusted +/-)為
+5.43
Very impressive. Those numbers show that Daequan put the ball in the hole in
the most rewarding and efficient way (the extra point received from the three
point shot) at a high rate. He shot a lot of them and he made a lot of them.
He was also a part of some successful lineups. His lineups almost always have
him paired with James Harden as part of the bench mob that played good
defense and scored big buckets.
Cook的得分方式報酬很高，成功率也是很高，跟大鬍子搭配更是非常的棒。
For me, my sort of line in the sand is .350% from three. Players that shoot
the three at .350% and above would be considered good three point shooters.
Below .350% and I’m less impressed (technically league average is about
.355%). To the extent you shoot below .350% is the extent of my disdain for
you as a three shooter (hello Jeff Green?). Durant, Harden, Maynor and
Daequan are the guys you want shooting threes for the Thunder according to
that criteria.
作者用.350來區分投三分的好壞，如果你是三分射手還低於.350，作者鄙視你。
(hello Jeff Green?) KD、大鬍子Maynor和Cook都是超過標準的。
In DQ’s career, he has shot .332, .387, .317 (with Miami) and .422 for the
Thunder for a career 3pt% of .369. But if you take out this last season with
the Thunder his three year 3pt% would be .345%-below the league average. I’m
hesitant to crown DQ as the next coming of Dell Curry and pay him
accordingly; especially if he reverts to career norms next season. In fact,
there’s a real possibility that DQ’s season with the Thunder was more of an
exception than the norm—an outlier; but we just don’t know until the games
are played.
Cook目前生涯.332 .387 .317(熱火) .422(雷霆)，生涯三分命中率.369。如果扣掉去年
的數據，將是低於平均的.345。
The Thunder know what they have in DQ; they see him every day. They know his
character and his work ethic; and in fairness, I think he is capable of doing
more than just jacking threes. And I think he’s a decent defender who gives
effort. If the Thunder see him as both a gunner off the bench and as a player
to groom as an injury backup for Harden, I am fine with paying the man. But
if they believe that his role is what it is, and his contribution stops at
the corner three, then I wouldn’t consider him beyond this season and one
year deal. The Thunder have the option to tear up the Qualifying offer and
negotiate a longer deal—say three years $6 Million. That’s if the Thunder
see him as a player to groom. But if not, there are always guys out there who
do what DQ does for less money, guys like Reggie Williams, Gary Neal and
Steve Novak. Money and the Salary Cap will become issues for this team soon,
and then it will be time to take a closer look at what you want to pay a guy
to shoot from the corner.
雷霆天天瞪著Cook看當然知道他的優點和他的角色。作者覺得Cook應該有能力提供三分
之外的支援。他也是個好的防守者。
現在雷霆也可以選擇不用QO，簽更長的合約(例如3y6m)
如果雷霆將他視為板凳射手和Harden受傷的替補，簽約是OK的；但是如果雷霆把他當作
在Corner丟三分的角色，我覺得不該簽下他，有更多更便宜且能扮演這種角色的球員。
畢竟在雷霆隊中，薪資上限將成為最近所要面臨的問題。
******************************************************************************
QO:(Qualifying offer)
英文維基: http://0rz.tw/Qdo3r
Yahoo奇摩知識+: http://0rz.tw/XIQpf
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