好快攻，不跑嗎？

[JeremyEvans (籃板悍將)]

原文 http://tinyurl.com/496lagm

To Run Or Not To Run: Jerry Sloan vs. Deron Williams

With Jerry Sloan stepping down, there are a lot of reports that Sloan
decided to step down after growing tired of butting heads with Deron.
 The two have reportedly but heads all season, with things really
getting heated on Wednesday.  Again, according to reports, a lot of
the stuff between Williams and Sloan was due to different mindsets
when it came to the issue of halfcourt offense vs. transition
offense.  I don't think I need to tell you who was in favor of what,
but here is an interesting excerpt from Jack McCallum's great piece
on Sloan from yesterday:

    And there are reports that his talented point guard, Deron 
Williams, was growing upset with the Sloan half-court system, 
believing that more transition offense (and a few different players) 
was the way for the Jazz to climb out of their doldrums.

After looking at the numbers and watching through the tape you can
see why both Williams and Sloan feel the way that they do, and video
evidence suggests that this (whether or not to run more) is why their
relationship deteriorated.

Why Williams Wants To Run?

The Utah Jazz actually lead the league in points per possession in
transition with a PPP of 1.231 on 63.1% shooting (also first in the
league in transition).  However, despite the positive numbers, the
Jazz don't run all that much, with only 13.1% of their total
possessions labeled as “transition” by Synergy Sports Technology,
which is only the 11th most in the NBA.

So if you are Deron Williams and you are seeing your team putting up
solid number both in terms of scoring and in terms of shooting
percentage, you are probably going to wonder why the team doesn't run
more than it does.  Also, you are going to believe that if you run
more that you can keep the efficiency levels the same.

Why Sloan Doesn't Want To Run?

Now, Sloan has always been a guy who ran a half court offense, so
some of this has to do with him not wanting to change his system (and
rightfully so, if you ask me).  However, in addition to that, there
are numbers that suggest running might not be the best thing for this
Jazz team.  First, the Jazz turn the ball over a lot in transition, 
posting a team turnover percentage of 13.0% when in transition, which
is just 24th in the NBA.  So while the Jazz are posting a high
shooting percentage, Sloan probably thinks his team can be more
efficient in the halfcourt where they turn the ball over much less
(12.3% of halfcourt possessions – 7th lowest TO%), giving them more
possessions.

Another reason why Sloan may not want to run is because Deron 
Williams isn't a very good point guard in transition.  Williams is
posting a PPP of 1.16 when in transition which is 164th in the NBA.
 This is due mostly to turnovers as Williams is turning the ball over
on 15.5% of his individual transition possessions which is good for a
ranking of 246th.

Williams Breaking Off Sets

In addition to the reports that had Sloan and Williams getting into
it over the number of fastbreak opportunities, there are reports that
talk about Williams breaking off of Sloan playcalls and just doing
his own thing on the court.  When watching through the tape, I didn't
really notice Williams breaking off of sets in the halfcourt too much
(though I am sure I don't know every single set that Sloan runs), and
when he does it seems to be in the flow of the game and not a “me
against the world” thing.  However, where I did notice Williams
breaking things off and doing his own thing is when he would decide
to try and force the issue and create fastbreak opportunities that
didn't exist instead of slowing things down and running a set that
Sloan calls out:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1jiGs6IeNus
In this case, the entire Chicago Bulls team is back on defense after
a jump shot where nobody crashes the offensive glass.  Instead of
slowing it down and getting into a set, Williams tries to create a
transition opportunity.  He attacks the middle, but the defense is
there and ready to help, forcing Williams into a bad pass.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_AVoNcdvR8
Once again, Williams tries to create a transition opportunity when he
doesn't have the numbers in the above clip.  Again, the defense cuts
him off and doesn't let him get to the rim.  Williams tries to throw
a pinpoint pass that is off the mark, creating another turnover.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wp1mGgxp65o
Here, after getting the outlet pass, Williams once again tries to
create a transition opportunity, this time, outrunning his entire
team.  He ends up getting caught in the air too far underneath the
rim.  With the rest of his team trailing the play, he has nobody to
kick the ball out to, and the result is yet another turnover.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OPdkPFVWgjk
Finally, in this clip, Williams again tries to create a transition
opportunity.  Again, the defense is back, so there is no clear reason
to try and run.  The defense collapses on Williams, knocking the ball
off of him and out of bounds.


Now, Williams is still a very good point guard, and when fastbreak
opportunities are there organically in the flow of the game, Williams
scores and he scores effectively.  However, he still insists on
forcing things and it wouldn't surprise me if he and Coach Sloan
have had discussions about this very thing.

If this is a stand that Williams is making, it is kind of a strange
one.  To me, it's like he is saying, “I don't care if forcing the
issue makes me a worse point guard, I am going to keep doing it over
and over.”

In all of the clips above, it is a pretty good bet that Sloan would
have wanted Williams to run the offense rather than force the issue
and trying to make something out of nothing.


有些報導指出，史隆和小胖的衝突在於史隆堅持半場進攻
但小胖想要多跑一些攻守轉換(transition offence，後用trans簡稱)。

根據數字統計，爵士隊在trans效率(每波1.231分)和命中率(63.1%)
都排在聯盟第一。
但執行的比例不算高 (13.1%, 聯盟第11)
如果提高trans的比例，很難說還能否保持這樣的高效率。

史隆不喜歡trans的原因，可能是因為:
1. 太容易失誤 (13.0%, 聯盟第24)
2. 打半場進攻時失誤較少 (12.3%, 聯盟第7)
此外，小胖在trans的表現不佳
他的效率在聯盟排164位
trans失誤率更高達15.5%，聯盟246位

文中有一些影片指出最近小胖如何在不利的條件下
依然一夫當關挑戰各種失誤
如同原文所說: make something out of nothing

--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 61.62.78.100
噓 sam369:小胖跑快攻 爵士老公公
推 steo:這麼想跑,那就Deron <-> Curry
→ sam369:讓小胖跑快攻等於找死 效率幾乎是全聯盟最後一名了246
→ sam369:全NAB所有球員剛好就是246個仁 小胖剛好拿最後一名
→ monmo:在以前我是贊成的 可是Deron沒看到今年籃板退這麼多嗎?
→ sam369:小胖真的很白痴也很白爛,當初爵士應該選CP3或是斐頓的
→ monmo:攻守轉換的基本是籃板掌控... 沒有比例自然少
→ sam369:這樣一來 也不會造成史龍的離開我就不信選了保羅肥噸捷克
→ monmo:不然以前我們打攻守轉換也不錯 不然怎會勇士見一次打一次
→ sam369:其中依個人 來個爵士還會亂放話跟玩朋黨
→ monmo:沒有籃板 快攻難道不自覺一直很爛? 攻守的條件實在不足呀
→ monmo:還是要推一下這文
→ amox:我懷疑爵士那個高快攻效率是Watson打出來的
→ monmo:原PO的15941就足以解說
噓 sam369:X
噓 amox:現在比當時還更低了，剩71.6%，聯盟第27  = =
→ JeremyEvans:因為對手太專注抓前場籃板，我們攻守轉換才能第一啊
噓 monmo:這樣說好像也蠻有道理耶 抓不到防守板所以比率低
→ monmo:反過來說 抓到了對方在後場的人少所以成功率高
→ monmo:不過我也覺得要算Watson功勞XD
→ monmo:不過比賽中的現實 其實常常是一個搶我們三個還搶輸
→ monmo:不曉得有沒資料可以佐證對方退防少所以我們成功率高?
噓 CW4:這不得不說 胖子他的信心在哪實在是...
→ CW4:Opponent Offensive Rebounding %:Jazz 28.4% 聯盟第27名
推 CW4:也推Evans大分享這篇~
噓 ChrisPaul03:DW還有臉說要跑快攻  不過他的臉真的比較大
噓 sam369:DW滾拉
噓 WesMatthews:沒有我就不會跑快攻了嗎
噓 MillsapPaul:但至少會補籃
噓 WesMatthews:現在也沒機會讓爵士補籃了
→ CW4:嗯 要跑應該也是小酒還在或真王牌喊
推 asdfzx:全聯盟也只有熱火那兩隻坦克+閃電夠資格跟教皇要求快攻 DW
→ asdfzx:算哪門子的.......
→ sam369:X