[外電] 小牛媒體提出的Asik交易方案

[thanos (thanos)]

Scenario One

Mavericks get Asik (~$8.4mil)

Rockets get Trade Exception (~$8.4mil)

With the Mavs excess cap room, absorbing Asik's salary shouldn't be an issue
if they manage their finances properly.

Why would the Rockets do this? Simply to free up cap space. If they truly
believe they have a chance to land a star or top tier player then they'll
look to unload salary whenever possible. Also, netting a decently large trade
exception could be useful for them in future trades. The Mavs could probably
trade a future second round selection (doubt they would want to use a first
rounder on Asik) to make it somewhat more appealing.

方案一

*小牛得到Asik

*火箭得到交易特例

小牛有足夠的薪資空間，所以吃下Asik的合約不是什麼大問題。

火箭這麼做的好處？

火箭騰出薪資空間引入第三巨頭，還得到一個將來可能會派上用場的交易特例。

小牛可能還會奉上一枚未來次輪選秀權給火箭。

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Scenario Two

Mavericks get Asik (~$8.4mil)

Rockets get Samuel Dalembert and Wayne Ellington (~$5.6mil)

Taking the difference in salaries shouldn't be an obstacle at all in this
deal. If the Rockets aren't interested in Ellington, this trade can easily be
a straight swap of Asik for Dalembert; the Mavs should be able to absorb the
estimated five million difference.

Why would the Rockets do this? They add two potential rotation players to
their roster. Dalembert can take over the backup duties Asik is leaving
behind. Ellington's three point shooting could land him in the rotation, as
he could spread the court for stars James Harden and Howard. Worst case for
the Rockets is they can terminate Dalembert's non-fully guaranteed contract
and free up additional cap space.

方案二

*小牛得到Asik

*火箭得到Dalembert和Ellington

如果火箭不想要Ellington的話，可以直接用Asik一對一換Dalembert，小牛應該能吸收
那500萬的價差。

火箭有什麼好處？

火箭可以得到兩名替補球員，Dalembert可以取代Asik離開後的替補中鋒位置， Ellington
會是輪替陣容中的三分射手，他可以替Harden和Howard拉開空間。對於火箭來說，最糟的
情況如果發生，他們還可以終止Dalembert的非完全保障合約，然後騰出更多的薪資空間。

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Scenario Three

Mavericks get Asik and Jeremy Lin (~$16.8mil)

Rockets get Dalembert, Ellington, and possibly Shawn Marion (S&T) ($5.6+mil)

It's obvious that Marion wants to end his career with a contender (if it's
not with the Mavs), so he might feel Houston would be a good place for him to
most likely end his career with. The Mavs could try to force Houston into
including Donatas Motiejunas for taking on Lin's contract. Whether or not
Marion is involved, the Mavs could possibly free up enough money to bring
those two in.

Why would the Rockets do this? They dump not one, but two contracts and
players they may feel they may be better off without. Again, we already know
what Dalembert and Ellington could offer them (see scenario two). Now, why
would they want Marion? Well, Houston wasn't exactly a great defensive team,
so while Marion isn't the defender he once was, he could still give them some
good minutes on the defensive end. Also, his ability to play power forward
for stretches may also appeal to the Rockets, as they prefer to spread the
court and due to Terrence Jones being the only power forward on the roster.

Why would the Mavericks do this? This could possibly be a latch ditch effort
to land a center (if they strike on on the free agent market and on Tyson
Chander and Larry Sanders). With their backs against the wall, they may feel
they'd have no choice but to take on Lin. Positive is like Asik, Lin is in
the final year of his poison pill contract. Bringing in Lin would most likely
mean the end of Devin Harris in Dallas sadly. Though, paying $30mil for these
two due to the poison pill contract could be a tough swallow.

方案三

*小牛得到林書豪和Asik

*火箭得到Dalembert、Ellington，可能再外加個Shawn Marion(先簽後換)

很明顯地Marion希望能在一支有競爭力的球隊效力(假設不是小牛的話)為他的職業生涯
劃上句點，所以他可能會覺得火箭會是他結束職業生涯不錯的落腳處，小牛可以試著說服
火箭把Motiejunas也放進吃下林書豪的合約裡，不管Marion是否涉入這樁交易，小牛都有
足夠的薪資空間能吃下Asik和林書豪。

火箭這麼做的好處？他們拋售掉兩筆合約，再來，我們已經知道Dalembert和Ellington
對火箭有什麼好處(見方案二)，現在，為什麼覺得火箭會想要Marion？嗯，火箭事實上
並不是一支防守很好的球隊，雖然Marion沒有以前防守大閘的功力，但他仍然可以充當
火箭幾分鐘的防守終結者。而且他可以打大前鋒的位置也是吸引火箭的優點，火箭偏好
可以拉開空間的大前鋒，也是因為Terrence Jones是目前火箭陣中唯一有這種能力的大
前鋒。

小牛這麼做的好處？這可能是小牛無路可退的引援中鋒方案(假如小牛想引援Tyson
Chandler或Larry Sanders的計劃失利的話)，背水一戰的他們可能會覺得他們除了吃下
林書豪以外別無選擇了，樂觀的是這是林書豪和Asik毒藥合約的最後一年了，但可惜的是
引入林書豪Devin Harris可能就不在小牛了，雖然，吞下30M的毒藥合約還是很難下嚥。

http://ppt.cc/~grU

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※ 編輯: thanos (1.170.121.211), 06/20/2014 12:33:18
→ evangelew:方案三比較不可能 小牛已經有Ellis了，應該不需要Lin
推 qoomilk:1.2都非常合理，唯一失敗原因大概就同區資敵問題
→ evangelew:有薪資空間加上老闆又很願意花錢補強 這樣的球隊
→ evangelew:應該不多
→ mozzan:Marion到火箭根本上不了場，冰箱根本不會用
→ magamanzero:都不太可能 雷霆都願意出首輪了 幹麻跟小牛拿次輪
→ magamanzero:更遑論這是資敵 到時候季後賽被阿西打臉 莫雷可會哭哭
→ magamanzero:當年被Lin打一次 現在要再被阿西打一次嗎XDD
→ magamanzero:再來 小牛吞這毒藥的意義在哪 阿西就一年約
→ magamanzero:除非司機就剩下一年了 不然吞這毒藥還要送籤不合理
→ magamanzero:再者阿西雖然防守效益很好 但是有奶油手和體力問題
→ magamanzero:這一年約 可以讓它的奶油手在小牛消失 完全不看好
→ magamanzero:火箭也是花了一年 才稍微減少他手上的奶油量
推 JCrawford:你都說了這是資敵，拿個二輪也不為過，二輪也不是啥
→ JCrawford:寶，充其量只是配菜
→ magamanzero:我的意思是資敵行為不能用一個次輪打發這樣
→ sdf138:說阿西奶油手 然後花了一年 不認同 這一年 不就是冰和吹密
→ sdf138:有練他才怪
→ nenpow:是第一年吧
→ tliu223:方案2比較有實現的可能吧…