作者zxc906383 (無無)
看板Baseball
標題[情報] Jon Heyman預測山本由伸合約:$200M/8yr
時間Sat Nov 4 00:01:09 2023
https://reurl.cc/0ZyYKk
紐約郵報記者Jon Heyman找了兩位專家
和他一起預測自由市場前16大SP的合約
其中山本由伸這三位分別給了
Expert 1:
$210M/7yrs
Expert 2:
$120M/5yrs
Jon Heyman:
$200M/8yrs
完整前16名預測
1. Blake Snell
Expert 1: $185M, 5 years.
Expert 2: $180M/6.
Me: $200M/6.
2. 山本由伸
Expert 1: $210M, 7 years.
Expert 2: $120M/5.
Me: $200M/8.
3. Aaron Nola
Expert 1: $175M, 5 years.
Expert 2: $140M/5.
Me: $168M/6.
4. Jordan Montgomery
Expert 1: $120M, 5 years.
Expert 2: $80M/5.
Me: $120M/6.
5. Eduardo Rodriguez
Expert 1: $110M, 5 years.
Expert 2: $100M/5.
Me: $90M/5.
6. Sonny Gray
Expert 1: $66M, 3 years.
Expert 2: $65M/3.
Me: $72M/3.
7. Lucas Giolito
Expert 1: $51M, 3 years.
Expert 2: $80M/4.
Me: $45M/3.
8. Clayton Kershaw
Expert 1: $20M, 1 year.
Expert 2: $20M/1.
Me: $21M/1 (if he pitches).
9. Michael Wacha
Expert 1: $48M, 3 years.
Expert 2: $28M/2.
Me: $30M/2.
10. Jack Flaherty
Expert 1: $42M, 3 years.
Expert 2: $10M/1.
Me: $45M/3.
11. Seth Lugo
Expert 1: $42M, 3 years.
Expert 2: $39M/3.
Me: $30M/2.
12. Michael Lorenzen
Expert 1: $24M, 2 years.
Expert 2: $20M/2.
Me: $30M/2.
13. Kyle Hendricks
Expert 1: $66M, 3 years.
Expert 2: $30M/2.
Me: Cubs pick up($16M)
14. Kyle Gibson
Expert 1: $22M, 2 years.
Expert 2: $12M/1.
Me: $12M/1.
15. 柳賢振
Expert 1: $13M, 1 year.
Expert 2: $10M/1 (plus incentives)
Me: $12M/1.
16. James Paxton
Expert 1: $10M, 1 year.
Expert 2: $8M/1.
Me: $11M/1.
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推 polanco: 120/5不太可能吧11/04 00:02
→ choobii: 所以是八年還六年?11/04 00:02
※ 編輯: zxc906383 (111.248.223.148 臺灣), 11/04/2023 00:03:38
※ 編輯: zxc906383 (111.248.223.148 臺灣), 11/04/2023 00:04:22
推 TokyoHard: 專不專業啊,不是說成功的前例很少?還給這麼高 11/04 00:05
推 mashmabo: 5年太短 11/04 00:06
推 MapleLeaf151: Giolito跟Flaherty也給太高 11/04 00:06
推 teller526: 覺得會簽5~6年 30歲顛峰期左右再簽一張大約 11/04 00:08
推 kenkuo1688: Heyman 給的 都還蠻有可能的 11/04 00:11
噓 deeping774: 上面一堆旅基 想想真可悲 在洋基完全沒這麼好的成績 11/04 00:12
→ MapleLeaf151: 能簽長約帶option啊 不一定要只簽到30歲 11/04 00:13
→ kenro: 全部攤下來2500起跳吧 11/04 00:13
→ kenkuo1688: Fla 跟Giolito 可能就賭復活吧 11/04 00:14
噓 k22015987: 5Y120M？專家？ 11/04 00:19
推 TRosenthal: Flaherty給45M ，打對折都不一定拿得到了 11/04 00:25
推 xd987: 234名彼此落差也太大 11/04 00:34
→ WasJohnWall: Fla Gio7M能拿那麼多喔 11/04 00:41
推 hsetaornte: 第二個普遍都給偏少啊 11/04 01:13
→ tsujishiori: 明天跟阪神打完會不會被殺價？ 11/04 01:53
→ blacklittle: 書僮開刀去了 11/04 01:56
推 rondo0417: seth lugo太高吧 成績超普 11/04 02:47
推 idtvgame: 要30歲再出來簽大約 約裡要個跳脫就好 不太可能簽5而已 11/04 04:50
噓 henry3182001: 25歲 沒有7-8年 別笑想.. 11/04 05:16
推 GP03D: 要算入通膨了。每年10%-15%以上。我覺得實際金額都會更高。 11/04 05:19
推 ia220629: 專家不署名 對我來說跟鄉民喊沒什麼區別欸 11/04 06:16
推 all035: 山本拿5年約比較有可能 雖然是強投 但沒在美國出賽過 11/04 07:26
→ all035: 直接綁一張8年以上大約 簽的那隊就真的賭很大 11/04 07:28
推 cl3bp6: 一定一堆球隊搶 你不簽到8年只簽5年怎麼跟別人競爭 簽8年 11/04 07:41
→ cl3bp6: 中間附個逃脫條款比較合理 11/04 07:41
推 kiss7938: 山本第一個價碼也太唬爛，aav 30m已經是賽揚級的加碼了= 11/04 08:44
→ kiss7938: = 年限以投手約來看也算長約了 11/04 08:44
→ rocky9137: 0簽3萬 知足常樂 11/04 08:48
推 yaes111: 蝸牛應該是6年2億 11/04 09:26
推 ric3: 賽揚不只30了.. 11/04 10:50