[農場] Top 20 prospects by John Sickels

[Roawen (嘴砲型的效率)]

http://tinyurl.com/p8cs7va

沒有A的... 自我感覺前4個都有機會成為全星星啊

1) Hector Olivera, 3B-OF, Grade B+: Cuban defector traded from the Dodgers,
age 30, expected to take regular spot in Braves lineup. Tough call,
performance wasn’t great but he was working off two years of rust, while
adapting to a new culture, while fighting injuries, while playing at seven
different stops in the space of four months. I think you have to give him
some slack for that. I’m not sure how well he will age, but my guess is that
in the short run he will (if health allows) be an above-average hitter, say
.280 with 18 homers and a reasonable OBP in a full season. Currently hitting
well in Puerto Rico. Position unclear at this time, was supposed to be a
third baseman but now it sounds like he will be an outfielder.

2) Kolby Allard, LHP, Grade B+: Age 18, first round pick in 2015, fanned 12
with zero walks in six rookie ball innings working his way back from stress
injury in back, would have gone much earlier in draft if not for that. Plus
fastball, plus curve, could move very quickly. Can make a good case for
number one.

3) Ozzie Albies, SS, Grade B+: Hit .310/.368/.404 with 29 steals in Low-A at
age 18, not much power yet but that’s nitpicking given the total package,
athleticism, makeup, youth. You can make a good case to have him number one
and ultimately I may go there depending on what happens with Olivera over the
winter.

4) Austin Riley, 3B, Grade B: Age 18, supplemental pick in 2015 draft, hit
.255/.331/.500 in GCL then .351/.443/.586 in Appy League, combined for 12
homers. Whiff rate is rather high but power is genuine, he makes an effort to
control the zone and he has a chance to be a complete hitter, needs more
defensive polish but that should come if he doesn’t gain too much weight.

5) Lucas Sims, RHP, Grade B: Still just 21, erratic but finished well in
Double-A, will hold same aggressive grade as last year, still needs to refine
change-up and overall command to go with impressive fastball and curve.

6) Mike Soroka, RHP, Grade B: Age 18, Canadian drafted in first round, posted
37/5 K/BB in 34 innings in rookie ball, doesn’t throw quite as hard as Sims
but more polished compared to Sims at same age, very good curve, low-90s
heat.

7) Touki Toussaint, RHP, Grade B/B-: Age 19, Arizona’s first round pick in
2014 unexpectedly traded to Braves last June, highest ceiling right-handed
arm in system. This is an aggressive grade not backed up by the metrics at
this point, notably a poor 39/33 K/BB after the trade. High risk. Beware. But
if it works out. . .

8) Mallex Smith, OF, Grade B/B-: Age 22, stole 57 bases between Double-A and
Triple-A hitting combined .306/.373/.386. Lacks home run power but makes
contact and uses his blazing speed very well. Optimistic take: Ben
Revere/Michael Bourn/Juan Pierre category of player. Pessimistic take: Jarrod
Dyson type reserve.

9) Tyrell Jenkins, RHP, Grade B-: Age 23, still love the arm and athleticism
but growing concerned about poor component ratios, 88/61 K/BB in 138 innings
in high minors. Seems strange to rank him behind Touki since Jenkins has been
at higher levels, but TJ is still relatively unpolished, doesn’t have quite
the same upside as TT, and is four years older now. Check comments section
below for more thoughts on Jenkins.

10) Zachary Bird, RHP, Grade B-: Age 21, acquired from Dodgers, electric
right arm with upside similar to Jenkins but similar issues with consistency
and command, 4.69 ERA with 103/60 K/BB in 102 innings in 2015, mostly in
High-A.

11) Braxton Davidson, OF, Grade B-/C+: Age 19, hit .242/.381/.374 with 10
homers, 84 walks, 135 strikeouts in 401 at-bats in Low-A. Has not produced
expected home run power but very patient, perhaps too patient. Still young
enough to tap his strength of course.

12) Max Fried, LHP, Grade B-/C+: Age 21, missed season with Tommy John. Wild
guess on placement. Some like him as high as seven but some think he was
over-rated even before he got hurt.

13) Ronald Acuna, OF, Grade B-/C+: Age 17, hit .269/.380/.438 with four
homers, 16 steals, 28 walks, 42 strikeouts in 201 at-bats split between GCL
and Appy. Solid across-the-board numbers with scouting reports that are very
positive regarding overall tools and good polish for his age. Some risk that
he could be a tweener, but off to a good start. Aggressive grade.

14) John Gant, RHP, Grade C+: Age 23, acquired from Mets, doesn’t have stuff
of the guys ahead of him but he is efficient, throws strikes, eats innings,
3.08 ERA with 134/50 K/BB in 140 innings, finished strongly in Double-A after
the trade (1.99, 43/14 in 41). Non-zero chance he turns into Collin McHugh
type.

15) Manny Banuelos, LHP, Grade C+: Age 24, hasn’t lived up to hype generated
with Yankees, shut down early with more elbow problems. My guess is that he’
s a reliever long-term.

16) Josh Graham, RHP, Grade C+: Age 22, fourth round pick from University of
Oregon, converted catcher showed surprising polish given lack of pitching
experience, 2.60 with 21/3 in 17 innings in rookie ball. Need to see at
higher levels and long-term role unclear, but a definite sleeper to track.

17) Juan Yepez, 1B-3B, Grade C+: Age 17, very impressive rookie ball debut,
hit .299/.364/.458 with 22 walks, 55 whiffs in 201 at-bats. Defense needs
work, contact may be an issue at higher levels but off to an excellent start.
Possibly the highest ceiling bat other than Riley in the system.

18) Lucas Herbert, C, Grade C+: Second round pick, Kolby Allard’s
batterymate in high school, tore meniscus in third pro game but should be
okay for spring. Strong defensive reputation and a chance to hit for some
power, stock will certainly rise if that happens.

19) Rio Ruiz, 3B, Grade C+/C: Age 21, hit disappointing .233/.333/.324 in
Double-A, drew 63 walks but just five homers. Erratic, productive in June
(.310/.424/.380) and August (.302/.353/.481) but well below Mendoza Line in
May and July. At times he looks excellent with a pretty swing and a good eye.
Other times his swing gets out of whack, too mechanical. This has been his
pattern since Low-A.

20) Andrew Thurman, RHP, Grade C+/C: Age 23, pitched pretty well in High-A
(3.77, 43/11 in 57) but control slipped after moving up to Double-A (14/16 in
24, 5.18). Scouting reports remain more impressive than numbers. I bet he
becomes a reliever eventually.

OTHER GRADE C+: Derian Cruz, SS; Luke Dykstra, 2B; Connor Lien, OF; Ricardo
Sanchez, LHP, Rob Whalen, RHP; Isranel Wilson, OF

OTHERS OF NOTE: Jason Hursh, RHP; Kyle Kinman, LHP; Jonathan Morales, C;
Christian Pache, OF; Wes Parsons, RHP; Dustin Peterson, OF; Randy Ventura,
OF; Ryan Weber, RHP; Dan Winkler RHP

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推 bravefan    : 突然才知道古巴人已經30了啊。。@@
→ tucker      : 至少沒再多個5歲啊XD
→ Roawen      : 看到阿瓜的前例 32就開始退化 希望古巴人能穩穩走完
→ tucker      : 古巴人很耐投，不知道耐不耐打XD
→ Roawen      : 剩下的5年約
推 pounil      : 賣了一堆咖 農場還只有這樣子 這才令人不爽和悲觀
→ Roawen      : Heyward的主菜是Miller Gattis的Folty已經畢業 Ruiz
→ Roawen      : 讓人失望  J.Upton的主菜還在DL Simmons的主菜沒在
→ Roawen      : 裡面 不然應該會有A-或A 其實賣出去的人也不是真的
→ Roawen      : 有便宜+年限久+全星星的人 要跟別隊換impact的超級
→ Roawen      : 新秀？算了吧...
→ Roawen      : 從Wren被火了後 農場確實從最後3名到現在的前10名
推 opqasd      : BA應該會排他在20-40名吧。JS給Newcomb A-, 看了他
→ opqasd      : 丟幾局，stuff蠻像左手的Sims, 快速球跟變化球很好
→ opqasd      : ，控球會突然不穩，我看的那場他變速球有幾顆丟不
→ opqasd      : 錯。光看2A成績Sims還要好一點就是了XD大拍賣+選秀
→ opqasd      : 進補之後農場排名往前理所當然吧
推 opqasd      : Hector Olivera在波多黎各打了12場，.279/.354/.326
→ opqasd      : ，沒有全壘打。
→ opqasd      : 然後下季勇士要讓他守左外野
→ LongRanger  : 不怕啦 反正都等了20 年了 再等下去...
→ opqasd      : 這份名單大部分都在A以下，能長出幾個也是很微妙
→ LongRanger  : 只能祈禱開出樂透 從 2A 直升 MLB!!!
推 nonavailable: Hector Olivera就算不是假貨也用不了多久...
推 synchron    : 巨人道奇在問Miller...hahaha
推 Smoltzy     : Miller跟Maybin大概不會在明年開季名單中
→ Smoltzy     : Teheran明年是驗貨年，投得越好越會被交易
推 chuckjr     : Allard背部又去動刀了
推 synchron    : 反正Allard背部沒受傷也輪不到我們選他，慢慢養吧