Re: Fw: [情報] Keith Law版2015百大新秀&各隊農

[Zamned (扎姆德)]

Keith Law's Top 10 Prospects


1. Kris Bryant, 3B
2. Addison Russell, SS
3. Jorge Soler, RF
4. Kyle Schwarber, C
5. Gleyber Torres, SS
6. Billy McKinney, OF
7. Albert Almora, CF
8. Duane Underwood, RHP
9. C.J. Edwards, RHP
10. Jen-Ho Tseng, RHP


呵呵，沒想到Keith Law喜歡曾仁和啊


Overview

The majors' best farm system is loaded with potential, or even likely, stars,
with their top six all projecting as at least average everyday players, along
with a number of other prospects outside their top 10 -- e.g., outfielder Eloy
Jimenez (15) and catcher/third baseman Victor Caratini (13) -- who have a
decent shot to join them. The system still isn't where it should be in terms of
potential starting pitchers, although Underwood took a big step forward this
year, holding 94-95 mph deep into starts and showing a plus curve and plus
change, just not all at the same time.

After taking Schwarber (whom I've listed as a catcher but don't believe will
remain there) with the No. 4 overall pick this year, the Cubs pounded pitching,
including three high-upside high school arms in lefty Carson Sands (16),
right-hander Dylan Cease (14) and lefty Justin Steele (11). Cease blew out his
elbow in the spring and won't pitch until mid- to late 2015. Lefty Rob
Zastryzny (18) and right-hander Jake Stinnett (17) could end up as fifth
starters or solid relievers, while Corey Black (17) now appears destined for a
full-time bullpen role. Bijan Rademacher (20) sounds like he should be on the
Dutch Olympic speed-skating squad, but he's a very solid fourth outfield
prospect who has a little bit of everything without one plus tool.

2015 impact

Bryant should be the rookie of the year favorite in the NL, and if he's not the
Cubs' Opening Day third baseman, I'm calling service time #shenanigans. Soler
will be their everyday right fielder; Russell might be ready by the All-Star
break, although his playing time will also depend on whether Javier Baez gets
comfortable at the plate. Edwards might break in this year as a starter, but
I'm skeptical he can remain a starter.

The fallen

I've never loved Pierce Johnson's (12) arm action because it puts tremendous
stress on his elbow (from the valgus force exerted on the joint by his late,
hard pronation), but he's also shown no improvement in his fastball command and
missed half of last year with a hamstring injury. He was supposed to be a
polished college pitcher who could move somewhat quickly to the majors, but
walking a batter every other inning in Double-A at age 23 was a big step back,
and he's still searching for an effective third pitch between a cutter and a
changeup.

Sleeper

Of all of the young arms in the system, Steele made the strongest impression
this summer, an athletic, 6-foot-1 southpaw with good downhill plane and some
advanced feel for pitching, especially for a Mississippi high school product.
His fastball is in the upper 80s now -- but should peak in the low 90s -- and
where Sands has more present velocity Steele has better projection.






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Sent from JPTT on my Sony C6902.

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やっ..........！！！！！！止めろペイモンこの野郎～～～～～～っ
地獄でいきなり聖書なんえ 読み上げやがってえ~~~~~~~~~っ！！殺すえおっ！！



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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 111.251.254.104
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Cubs/M.1422636027.A.534.html
→ Zamned: 如果我沒記錯 今年季初 他還寫文章把曾仁和貶得一文不值呢
→ Zamned: 。這中間到底發生什麼事情了?
※ 編輯: Zamned (111.251.254.104), 01/31/2015 00:58:20
推 shawshien: 會是因為農場裡其他小熊仔更糟嗎？
※ 編輯: Zamned (59.115.130.61), 01/31/2015 07:47:20
→ Zamned: 嗯 樓下的報告有說明一些
→ Zamned: 一開始可能是出於對台灣來的投手不信任吧
→ Zamned: 比他後面的投手 有些被他看作中繼投手 評價就低了
→ Zamned: 這份報告裡 Keith Law給我們的TOP3的評價非常高
→ Zamned: 但是第5名之後的評價明顯比其他家來的保守
一些Q&A
Soft-tosser (Maddumbville)
You believe in Gallo that much to rank him ahead of Soler?

Klaw(1:11 PM)
I believe that if Gallo hits, he'll hit 40-plus bombs a year. His probability
may be lower, but he could end up the best offensive player in baseball.

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Pat (Texas) [via mobile]
If CJ Edwards could actually throw 100 innings in a season, would he be in
the top 100?

Klaw(1:23 PM)
I think he's too slight to be a major-league starting pitcher.


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Tommy (channahon) [via mobile]
How bad was Theo Epstein's first draft with the Cubs in 2012? He has to be
regretting it already with Almora and Pierce Johnson over some big time guys

Klaw(1:13 PM)
Almora was a legit top ten pick ... I don't think anyone knew he'd be this
much of a hacker. Johnson's delivery scared me at the time.


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Billy McKinney (chicago)
Hey Keith. I'm upset about not being on this list. Was I close?

Klaw(1:55 PM)
Left field only. Can hit, can work the count, but you have to really rake to
profile at LF/1B.


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Kevin (Chicaog)
Keith thoughts on Cubs and Astros trade? Assume you were busy writing up the
top 100 to post on that trade or the scherzer signing? Thanks

Klaw(2:14 PM)
Not writing any of that stuff up because I was indeed working on prospect
stuff. Prefer Valbuena to Fowler, but Valbuena didn't fit the Cubs' roster.


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Tommy (Chicago)
Is the Schwarber ranking simply due to not being likely to stick at catcher?
How high are you on his bat?

Klaw(1:26 PM)
It's positional. Has to move to left or first. Cubs think he might catch.
Don't think anyone else does, even people who like his bat more than I do.
※ 編輯: Zamned (59.115.130.61), 01/31/2015 07:53:16
→ Zamned: Keith Law釣出野生的Billy McKinney 哈哈
推 shawshien: 小朋友會虛心請教 不錯喔
→ Zamned: 這名單就讓人困惑啊
→ Zamned: McKinney已經很禮貌了，結果Klaw也不直接回應他。
→ Zamned: 他寧願把今年只打出1支全壘打的Dominic Smith放到60幾名。
→ Zamned: 也不讓同樣年紀，更多層級，守位更佳的McKinney進Top 100
→ Zamned: 。
推 JustinIdiot: Law的top100出現許多讓我訝異的名字 Dominic是其中
→ JustinIdiot: 之一 還有許多勇士的小朋友也是…
→ JustinIdiot: 就我所知 Dominic的評價最高的時候就是剛簽時
→ JustinIdiot: 之後就一直往下掉了不是嗎…