[情報] Chicago Cubs Top 20 prospects for 2016

[Zamned (宮園かをり R.I.P.)]

1) Gleyber Torres, SS, Grade B+: Age 19, hit .293/.353/.386 with three homers,
22 steals, 43 walks, 108 strikeouts in 464 at-bats in Low-A. Across the board
tools with speed and perhaps more power potential than is commonly realized,
still somewhat raw with running and defense, unsure if he will remain at
shortstop. Hit well against older competition, high-ceiling talent clearly but
uncertain in what direction skills will go. Could end up as a high-average
hitter with doubles pop, or perhaps show more isolated power than expected but
a lower average.

2) Ian Happ, OF-2B, Grade B: Age 21, 2015 first round pick from University of
Cincinnati, hit .283/.408/.491 in Northwest League then .241/.315/.448 in
Midwest League, switch-hitter with impressive strike zone judgment, power,
speed, played second base in instructional league. Long-term position unclear
but should be a strong secondary average hitter.

3) Billy McKinney, OF, Grade B: Age 21, hit combined .300/.371/.454 with seven
homers, 44 walks, 60 strikeouts in 377 at-bats between High-A and Double-A.
Average tools in most respects but has always hit well against older
competition and a favorite of scouts due to excellent makeup, still some risk
he ends up as a "tweener" without ideal power for a corner.

4) Willson Contreras, C, Grade B-/B: Age 23, hit .333/.414/.478 with 34
doubles, eight homers, 57 walks, 62 strikeouts in 454 at-bats in Double-A.
Excellent season, led Southern League in batting average but has never played
that well before and it is not unanimous that he can keep it up. Good BB/K/PA
ratio is in his favor. Defense is erratic and he needs another year in the
minors to refine it, has the tools but still needs more polish. Non-Cubs
sources not as sanguine on him as Cubs-oriented sources.

5) Duane Underwood, RHP, Grade B-: Age 21, posted 2.58 ERA with 48/24 K/BB in
73 innings in High-A, missed much of the summer with sore elbow but recovered
without complications, can hit 95-96, change-up and curve both flash plus but
are still inconsistent, reflected in relatively low strikeout rate. Maturing
emotionally, has made considerable progress over the last two seasons. Number
three starter upside.

6) Carl Edwards Jr, RHP, Grade B-: Age 24, 2.77 ERA with 75/41 K/BB in 55
innings between Double-A and Triple-A, just 26 hits allowed. Too many walks but
stuff fits perfectly in the bullpen, 93-97 MPH with movement, curve and change
both strong. Stock down some now that he is a reliever but can close games
eventually if the walks come down.

7) Oscar De La Cruz, RHP, Grade B-: Age 20, excellent summer in Northwest
League, 2.84 ERA with 73/17 K/BB in 73 innings, 56 hits, 92-96 MPH,
above-average breaking ball, change-up needs work but also has above-average
potential, throws strikes, strong body should lead to durability, real bargain
with $85,000 bonus in 2012. Key now is transition to full-season ball and
building up workload, but could be top pitching prospect in the system six
months from now.

8) Eloy Jimenez, OF, Grade B-: Age 19, hit .284/.328/.418 with seven homers, 15
walks, 43 strikeouts in 232 at-bats in Northwest League, bonus baby
($2,800,000) signed in 2013 was greatly improved compared to ’14, got to power
more often. Still needs polish with plate discipline and defense but has
progressed. Like De La Cruz, he can leap towards the top of the list if
transition to full-season ball goes well.

9) Albert Almora, OF, Grade B-: Age 21, hit .272/.327/.400 with 32 walks, 47
strikeouts in 405 at-bats in Double-A. Draws praise for excellent defensive
outfield skills but hitting hasn’t matched expectations, makes contact but
swing doesn’t result in much power production. May wind up as fourth
outfielder.

10) Pierce Johnson, RHP, Grade B-: Posted 2.08 ERA with 72/32 K/BB in 95
innings in Double-A, 76 hits, missed much of season with strained lat. History
of nagging injuries leads to role questions but features four pitches (92-95
fastball, curve, cutter, change) and usually throws strikes. Beware Prospect
Fatigue unfairly lowering stock but there are legit questions about how he fits
on roster.

11) Dylan Cease, RHP, Grade B-/C+: Age 20, posted 2.63 ERA with 25/16 K/BB in
24 innings in rookie ball, recovering from Tommy John surgery. Hit 95-97
post-surgery and is leaping up prospect lists, no question about his natural
talent but control problems have to be addressed. Beware Shiny New Toy syndrome
in the short run but upside is excellent.

12) Jeimer Candelario, 3B, Grade B-/C+: Age 22, hit .270/.318/.415 in High-A
then .291/.379/.462 in Double-A, switch hitter with good approach, moderate
power. Very good with glove at third base but doesn’t have range for other
infield spots nor run well enough for the outfield. A good role player for
someone.

13) Dan Vogelbach, 1B, Grade B-/C+: Age 23, hit .272/.403/.425 with seven
homers, 57 walks, 61 strikeouts in 254 at-bats in Double-A. Excellent strike
zone judgment with loads of power potential, but limited to first base/DH
defensively by 250 pound body. Trade bait barring lots of injuries ahead of him.

14) Ryan Williams, RHP, Grade C+: Age 24, sleeper prospect, control artist went
14-3, 2.16 with 98/18 K/BB in 142 innings between Low-A and Double-A, just 109
hits allowed. 10th round pick in 2014 from East Carolina University, doesn’t
burn radar but throws quality strikes with 88-91 heater, adequate-to-average
curve, slider, change-up, all play up due to command and consistency. Could be
inning-eating workhorse.

15) Victor Caratini, C, Grade C+: Age 22, hit .257/.342/.372 with four homers,
49 walks, 75 strikeouts in 393 at-bats in High-A, tools to be a strong
defender, good plate discipline, not much home run power.

16) Donnie Dewees, OF, Grade C+: Age 22, second round pick from University of
North Florida hit .266/.306/.376 in pro debut in Northwest League, five homers,
19 steals, 14 walks, 54 strikeouts in 282 at-bats. Good speed with more power
potential than early stats indicate, will need to tighten up strike zone.

17) Trevor Clifton, RHP, Grade C+: Age 20, posted 3.98 ERA with 103/47 K/BB in
109 innings in Low-A, 92-96 fastball, curve can be nasty, still working on
command and change-up, potential breakout candidate with mid-rotation upside.

18) Carson Sands, LHP, Grade C+: Age 20, fourth round pick in 2014, posted 3.92
ERA with 41/21 K/BB in 57 innings in Northwest League, 62 hits. Erratic, at his
best shows 90-95 fastball with plus curve and solid change-up, but secondary
pitches come and go and command needs work. Another possible number three
starter eventually.

19) Bryan Hudson, LHP, Grade C+: Age 18, huge 6-8 lefty from Illinois high
school drafted in third round in 2015, just getting started, currently throws
86-92 but heat should improve in time, already has a strong curveball. High
ceiling.

20) Ryan Kellogg, LHP, Grade C+: Age 21, Canadian lefty was fifth round pick
out of Arizona State, didn’t thrive in pro debut (4.98 ERA, 14/8 K/BB in 22
innings) but one of my picks for a breakout candidate. Big guy (6-6, 230) with
clean delivery, throws strikes with breaking ball and change-up, fastball
velocity was not special in college. My guess is that the fastball MPH improves
in pro ball and he emerges as another mid-rotation candidate.


OTHER GRADE C+ (more or less interchangeable with spots 14-20): Corey Black,
RHP; Eddy Martinez, OF; Justin Steele, LHP; Jen-Ho Tseng, RHP; Mark Zagunis, OF

OTHERS OF NOTE: Pedro Araujo, RHP; David Berg, RHP; Paul Blackburn, RHP;
Wladimir Galdino, 3B; Preston Morrison, RHP; Jake Stinnett, RHP; Kyle Twomey,
LHP; Christian Villanueva, INF; Darryl Wilson, OF; Chesny Young, 2B

Graduations have thinned the upper levels of this system, but I still like what
the Cubs have down on the farm. Many of the B- guys have breakout upside
potential, notably De La Cruz, Jimenez, and Cease. Sands, Hudson, and Kellogg
along with Justin Steele and Kyle Twomey give five legitimate southpaw
prospects at the A-ball level who could develop into major league starting
pitchers.

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地獄でいきなり聖書なんえ 読み上げやがってえ~~~~~~~~~っ！！殺すえおっ！！



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→ Roshiel: 現在沒什麼超級大物囉
推 Roshiel: 去年4個A的都畢業啦
→ Roshiel: Almora的評價一直在掉啊....他還有救嗎?
→ Zamned: 除了防守，他沒有任何一樣plus tool
→ Zamned: 所以評價一直降
→ Zamned: 他有改打擊。今年會不會維持去年後半的爆發，就再看看了。
推 imbestbill: 未來中線野手的配置可能依舊是問題 真是甜蜜的負荷啊X
→ imbestbill: D
→ Zamned: BP101 小熊入選六位新秀
→ Zamned: Torres  41, Contreras  57, Happ  67, McKinney  74, Alm
→ Zamned: ora 83,  EJM 97.
→ Zamned: 這兩年BP的人員流動率超高，都不知道該怎麼看待他們的報告
→ Zamned: 了
→ JustinIdiot: 比FG好多了…
→ JustinIdiot: 老實說 我今年看秋聯有被Candelario的揮棒驚豔到
→ Zamned: Candelario有機會在MLB打出.300成績 還有很棒的選球
→ Zamned: 這幾年他一直是我力挺的新秀 我比BA什麼的給他更多的愛
→ Zamned: 他也有傑出的makeup，雖然很年輕卻有成熟的心智
→ Zamned: 謙虛又懂得回饋社會 很好的球員
→ Zamned: 我聽到關於他的消息都是正面的
→ JustinIdiot: 其實我仍然不認為他是擁有太多upside的球員…但絕對
→ JustinIdiot: 是被低估的新秀 至少目前看來是這樣
→ Zamned: 他不是明星球員  但是平均水準以上的3B是有的
→ Zamned: .290 15HR 防守不錯的三壘 差不多就是天花板了
→ Zamned: 在小熊這邊大概討不到飯吃就是了
→ Zamned: 但是類似Plcido Polanco這款型的三壘手
→ Zamned: 在其他隊伍該有機會讓他先發打打看
→ Zamned: 而且我不認為他在小熊內部會被低估
→ Zamned: 當初他的疑問是可能要轉一壘
→ Zamned: 這嚴重影響到球探對他的看法
→ Zamned: 我一直以來都認為他是三壘料 所以給他很高的期待
→ Zamned: 他也不負我的力挺成為一個防守不錯的三壘手
→ Zamned: 阿和啊！我這麼挺你 你今年也爆發打爛老外的臉好嗎？QQ
→ Zamned: 阿洛馬啾尼爾也拜託你惹~~~~打爆BA的臉吧~~~
→ Zamned: 阿瑪洛啾尼爾*