[情報] 2018 BA Midseason Top 10 Prospect

[Zamned (QQ)]

Two years ago, after years of breaking themselves down and building
themselves back up, the Cubs went for the kill. They dealt away Gleyber
Torres as a part of a package to land closer Aroldis Chapman from the
Yankees. That move helped put the team over the edge on the road to their
first World Series title since 1918.

A year later they went for it again, trading away top prospects Eloy Jimenez
and Dylan Cease to the White Sox to land lefty Jose Quintana from the White
Sox. The move wasn’t as successful this time around, and the Cubs fell to
the Dodgers in the NLCS.

Those two moves coupled with graduations of players like Willson Contreras,
Ian Happ and Albert Almora in the last two years have left the Cubs with one
of most best cores in the big leagues but also one of baseball’s thinnest
farm systems.

Righthander Adbert Alzolay was among the system’s bright spots before an
injury cut his season short. Beyond him, the Cubs’ biggest riser is easily
catcher Miguel Amaya, who’s put together a standout season in his first
taste of full-season ball. He’s improved his plate discipline, which has
allowed him to tap into his raw power.

The Cubs’ minor leagues are in a definite state of transition, but they will
gladly take it if the big league team continues to be among the best in the
majors. At 55-38 and in first place in the National League Central at the
All-Star break, that’s exactly where they are.


1. Miguel Amaya, C
low Class A South Bend
Age: 19

After showing potential in 2017 with short-season Eugene, Amaya’s all-around
game has taken big steps forward this year. He built a reputation as a
free-swinger but has started putting together better at-bats in the Midwest
League. He’s hitting for both average and power now, with 12 home runs for
South Bend, and earned a selection to the Futures Game. Amaya has been a
solid receiver this year and shown off an above-average arm that could be
further amplified by improved mechanics on his release and transfer.


2. Adbert Alzolay, RHP
Triple-A Iowa (Disabled list)
Age: 23

Alzolay was very close to a big league callup before a strained lat muscle
ended his season in late May. He showed the same dynamic three-pitch mix that
helped him rush up the Cubs top prospect list after last season, and was
working at Triple-A to iron out his fastball command. The organization
particularly praises his dedication to improving and keeping himself in peak
physical condition.


3. Aramis Ademan, SS
high Class A Myrtle Beach
Age: 19

Ademan entered the season as the Carolina League’s second youngest player,
and it’s shown through the first half of the year. Still, there are reasons
for optimism. He came into the season in outstanding shape, and now the Cubs
are preaching to him about process rather than results. They want him to
become less pull-happy and still believe the talent will shine through when
all is said and done despite a .221/.312/.301 slash line.


4. Nico Hoerner, SS
low Class A South Bend
Age: 21

The Cubs have been incredibly successful at drafting college hitters in
recent years, and they went back to that strategy this year when they made
Hoerner their first-round selection out of Stanford. Hoerner bolstered his
resume with two strong summers swinging wood, and finished his amateur career
with a strong junior season. Hoerner doesn’t project to hit for much power,
but the offensive pedigree to be an everyday player is there even if he has
to move to second base. His pro debut was cut short, however, due to a
ligament strain in his left elbow suffered diving for a ball. He will miss
the rest of the season.


5. David Bote, UTIL
Chicago
Age: 25

An underappreciated player until recently, Bote rose the Cubs’ ranks thanks
to stellar performances at the upper levels as well as a star turn in the
Arizona Fall League in 2017. Those seasons were underpinned by exit
velocities that placed him among the game’s elite. Second base is his
natural position, but Bote has made himself versatile enough to play all over
the diamond and has seen an increasing amount of time at third base since
reaching the majors.

6. Alex Lange, RHP
high Class A Myrtle Beach
Age: 22

Drafted in the first round in 2017 out of Louisiana State, Lange skipped low
Class A and headed straight to the Carolina League to start his first full
season as a pro. He earned excellent marks for his curveball coming out of
college, but is learning to round out his arsenal as a pro. His velocity was
down early in the season, and his herky-jerky delivery was making it easy for
hitters to pick up his curveball and changeup. He’s changed the grip on his
changeup, and both offspeed pitches could be above-average with further
refinement and consistency.

7. Keegan Thompson, RHP
Double-A Tennessee
Age: 23

Thompson has zoomed to Double-A just a year after the Cubs made him their
third-round pick out of Auburn. Thompson’s fastball sits in the low 90s, and
the Cubs are working with him to add more movement to his two-seam fastball.
Both his curveball and slider flash above-average, but need more consistency.
The Cubs are focused on getting him to induce more grounders as he moves up
the ladder.

8. Brendon Little, LHP
low Class A South Bend
Age: 21

The Cubs popped Little with their first-round selection last year, but his
velocity has backed up as a pro and his fastball has been sitting in the
89-91 mph range. Besides rebuilding his fastball, the Cubs also are working
with Little to polish his curveball into an out pitch and helping him refine
his changeup. He’s got a way to go and is currently 3-7, 5.05 in the Midwest
League.

9. Oscar De La Cruz, RHP
Double-A Tennessee
Age: 23

After being held to just 56.2 innings in 2017, De La Cruz took the entire
offseason to rest and let his body heal. His hopes of pitching a full season
in 2018 ended, however, when he was suspended at midseason for 80 games after
testing positive for a masking agent. Prior to his suspension, De La Cruz
worked this year to find a consistent release point on both of his offspeed
pitches and throwing quality strikes. The raw stuff is certainly there, but
the performance wasn’t (6-7, 5.24) and his continued inability to stay on
the mound is overshadowing his raw abilities.

10. Richard Gallardo, RHP

Gallardo ranked as the No. 6 prospect available on this year’s international
market, and the Cubs snapped him up on July 2. He already sits between 89-93
mph with his fastball as a 16-year-old and couples the pitch with a downer
curveball in the mid 70s. Those weapons, plus big arm speed and a projectable
frame, helped him vault immediately into the Cubs’ Top 10.

RISING

‧ INF David Bote has improved his defensive versatility and has produced
consistently stellar exit velocity, leading to a few stints in the major
leagues, where he’s hit .310/.415/.452 in 20 games.

‧ RHP Cory Abbott has refined his changeup and added a curveball as a pro
and currently stands as the organization’s strikeout leader.


‧ Infielder Andruw Monasterio has caught scouts’ eyes for his combination
of athleticism and burgeoning power. His batting eye has improved while his
strikeout rate has stayed stable at high Class A Myrtle Beach.

FALLING

‧ RHP Jose Albertos has big raw stuff, but he simply hasn’t found the
strike zone often enough for it to play. He issued 32 walks in 13 innings
with low Class A South Bend before being sent back to short-season Eugene.

‧ RHP Thomas Hatch has blanched at his first taste of his of the upper
levels. He’s still got impressive stuff, but he’s been hittable inside the
strike zone at times and wild outside of it at other times. He is 6-4, 4.17
at Double-A Tennessee.

HURTING

‧ SS Nico Hoerner was shut down for the season after suffering his ligament
strain. He will be held out of baseball activities through August and then
begin rehabbing in Arizona.

‧ RHP Adbert Alzolay will miss the rest of the season with a strained lat
muscle, which comes just as he was on the cusp of a major league callup.

‧ LHP Justin Steele is recovering from Tommy John surgery but should be
ready to go sometime toward the end of the minor league season.

GRADUATING

‧ C/1B Victor Caratini is back up on the Cubs bench and has hit .274 with a
.337 on-base percentage while splitting time between catcher and first base.

‧ RHP Luke Farrell has emerged as a reliable long reliever out of the Cubs
bullpen while LHP Randy Rosario has held lefties (.150/.261/.325) in check.

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→ Zamned: BA還沒看我們家的低階農場嗎?
推 jorgesoler: Bote打出被交易價值（誤）
→ Zamned: 今年前二輪選得都在小聯盟屠殺
→ Zamned: 我們的球探真的很會選打者
推 Roshiel: 感覺是Theo的老症頭了，野手一大堆，王牌投手養不出來
→ Roshiel: 都是去外面找進來
→ Zamned: 投手都是傷  這算誰的頭上？
→ Zamned: 去年選得投手還不錯 但要時間等他們
→ Zamned: 我們投手養成不大一樣 在A和A+就開始練第二變化球種
→ Zamned: 成績可能難看一點 但對他們是好的
推 Roshiel: Theo當然是總括承受啊
→ Roshiel: 簽約前的健康狀況追蹤跟評估也是要做的啊
→ Roshiel: Theo在紅襪十年，就養一個抗癌出來而已，跟野手相比真的
→ Roshiel: 差很多
→ Zamned: 我是覺得喇 我們已經夠保護農場投手了
→ Zamned: 但會痛的就是會痛
→ Zamned: 我們又不喜歡在選秀黃金區選投手
→ Zamned: 加上傷病 成果自然稱不上好
→ Zamned: 就看17年那兩支可以長到多高了
推 Roshiel: 現實上就是投手養成不力啊，反正球團又不是摳門，找外援
→ Roshiel: 來補足就好
推 UKG: 這幾年也沒選什麼可以養成前兩號投手的料
推 UKG: 投手會痛也不是啥好奇怪的，本來就消耗品誰知道哪時會痛
→ Zamned: 這幾年都選高風險的
→ Zamned: 投手養成還可以
→ Zamned: 把Alzolay從mis-80s養成mid-90s
→ Zamned: 後段輪值的料也算養的可以
→ Zamned: 只是高風險高報酬都是傷
推 Roshiel: 實際上就是Theo那群高層養野手的績效優於養投手
→ Roshiel: 這原因當然很多，選秀策略、養成階段跟評估都是息息相關
→ Roshiel: 每個人總是有些缺點的啊，顧好自己的長處比較重要
→ Roshiel: 反正可以拿養好的野手去交易投手過來
→ Zamned: 那是因為我們第一輪籤位可以選到好的野手比較高
→ Zamned: （除了石瓦伯那年有些天花板比較矮的投手可以選）
→ Zamned: 小熊選秀團隊確實避掉很多投手地雷股
→ Zamned: 只是我們很喜歡在三明治挑受過傷的高天賦投手
→ Zamned: 這些投手進職業也沒健康過
→ Zamned: Pierce Johnson，Paul Blackburn，Dylan Cease等等都是不
→ Zamned: 健康的
→ Zamned: 開樂透的Carson Sands，Steele全掛掉了
→ Zamned: 開樂透的養成機會不管哪一隊都是偏低的
→ Zamned: Dylan Cease算是撿到寶 不過他很玻璃就是了
→ Zamned: 小熊第一輪一直以來的策略都是挑最好
→ Zamned: 不是挑最缺的
→ Zamned: 17年那個位置只剩投手好拿了
→ Zamned: 所以選兩個姿勢要改的投手進來