Re: [情報] 2015 HR derby 對戰組合

[badom (ＢＡＤＯＭ)]

※ 引述《mrkey (距離太遠 思念太近)》之銘言：
:                                   '15 HR 數 (~7/7)     420~474 ft.    475+ ft.
:     ┌─１種: Albert Pujols  (LAA)       26            6 (max: 438)      0
:   ┌┤
:   │└─８種: Kris Bryant    (CHC)       12            3 (max: 463)      0
: ┌┤
: ││
: ││┌─４種: Joc Pederson   (LAD)       20           12 (max: 480) ->   1
: │└┤
: │  └─５種: Manny Machado  (BAL)       18            1 (max: 422)      0
: ┤
: │
: │  ┌─３種: Josh Donaldson (TOR)       21            9 (max: 469)      0
: │┌┤
: ││└─６種: Anthony Rizzo  (CHC)       16            3 (max: 441)      0
: └┤
:   │
:   │┌─２種: Todd Frazier   (CIN)       25            4 (max: 428)      0
:   └┤
:     └─７種: Prince Fielder (TEX)       13            6 (max: 449)      0
: 全壘打距離資料: www.hittrackeronline.com


http://tinyurl.com/qh6wrt8

來看看各位參賽者打完全壘打大賽之後的表現如何?

Todd Frazier, Reds

Pre-All Star break stats: .284/.337/.585, 25 homers, 57 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .169/.231/.310, one homers, 11 RBIs in 18 games

Thoughts: Frazier has talked often about how much he loves the derby, and it’
s hard to blame him. He won this year’s contest at his home park and
finished as runner-up in 2014. But at some point, he’s going to start
hearing folks suggest that maybe he should sit the next round out. You see
his numbers this year. Not great. Last season, Frazier had a .290/.353/.500
slash line heading into the All-Star events and a .222/.260/.264 slash line,
with only one homer, in the 18 games after the break. Of course, no direct
cause/effect can be proven, but Cincinnati front-office folks have surely
taken notice.

Joc Pederson, Dodgers

Pre-All Star break stats: .230/.364/.487, 20 homers, 40 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .172/.284/.259, one homer, three RBIs in 15 games

Thoughts: It’s easy to try and pin Pederson’s recent struggles — and make
no mistake, he has struggled mightily — on the derby, but his slide didn’t
start with the new-this-year ticking clock. No, his skid started well before
the All-Star Game festivities. In his 35 games prior to the break, Pederson
batted just .172 and hit only three home runs. In other words, Los Angeles’
 powerful rookie has had issues at the plate for quite a while.

Albert Pujols, Angels

Pre-All Star break stats: .255/.323/.532, 26 homers, 56 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .264/.284/.458, four homers, 10 RBIs in 18 games

Thoughts: It’s not at all surprising Pujols’ numbers are pretty similar.
This is the fourth time the eventual Hall of Fame slugger has competed in the
derby — though it’s the first time since Busch Stadium hosted the 2009
event — and Pujols understands the mechanics of his swing as well as any
player in the bigs.

Josh Donaldson, Blue Jays

Pre-All Star break stats: .293/.351/.532, 21 homers, 60 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .290/.390/.739, eight homers, 20 RBIs in 18 games

Thoughts: Donaldson has been, by far, the best offensive producer of any of
the derby contestants since the event.

Kris Bryant, Cubs

Pre-All Star break stats: .269/.376./472, 12 homers, 51 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .147/.269/.265, two homers, 10 RBIs in 19 games

Thoughts: A more concerning development than just Bryant’s paltry batting
average since the All-Star Game is his inability to make contact. His
strikeout percentage before the break (29.7 percent of his plate appearances)
was already lofty. Since the break, though, he’s struck out 29 times in 81
plate appearances, a rate of 35.8 percent. That’s not ideal.

Prince Fielder, Rangers

Pre-All Star break stats: .339/.403/.521, 14 homers, 54 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .268/.354/.394, two homers, nine RBIs

Thoughts: Fielder knows the potential impact as well as any player in the
bigs. When he won the derby in 2012, he had a .299 average and .885 OPS going
in; in his first 19 games after the break, he had a .323 average and .899
OPS. When he won in 2009, he had a .315 average and 1.055 OPS; in his first
19 games after the break, he had a .267 average and .792 OPS. Fielder wound
up hitting 24 second-half homers that year, so it clearly wasn’t that big of
an issue for him.

Anthony Rizzo, Cubs

Pre-All Star break stats: .298/.413/.542, 16 homers, 48 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .274/.337/.534, five homers, 15 RBIs in 19 games

Thoughts: Rizzo has turned into an on-base machine for the Cubs, and patient
hitters who walk almost as much as they strike out (he has 51 walks and 60
strikeouts this season) can avoid long dry spells. His five homers since the
break are the most of any participant, outside of the red-hot Josh Donaldson.

Manny Machado, Orioles

Pre-All Star break stats: .298/.361/.525, 19 homers, 48 RBIs
Post-All Star break stats: .257/.353/.446, four homers, eight RBIs in 19 games

Thoughts: Machado’s batting average is down a bit because his BABIP (batting
average on balls in play) is .250 since the break, as compared to .311 before
the break. That’ll bring the slugging percentage down, too.

冠軍Todd Frazier看起來有受到影響

新人王競爭者Joc Pederson, Kris Bryant也陷入低潮

看起來只有Josh Donaldson還持續高檔,已經打出生涯最高29發

Bryce Harper沒參加或許是正確的決定










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→ EEERRIICC: Frazier完全冷
推 mightymouse: 不過Harper沒參加下半季全壘打也縮水，靠選球撐OPS
推 answertw: 是上半季太強而不是下半季縮水吧  那種成績本來就不科學
推 henry0317: 大奶嬸太猛啦
推 Roshiel: 老大好慘啊
→ uranusjr: 標準的 selection bias, 最後的結論完全沒有根據
→ badom: http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/7188
推 JessicaA1ba: 大奶嬸最近超威der
→ qwert860921: 果然是藍鳥隊的一員啊