[外電] 2018十個大膽預測(Bold Predictions)

[andy880036s (築牆是一種態度)]

官網文簡單翻翻，有玩FB的可以參考一下XD

Fantasy forecast: 10 bold predictions for '18

原文:https://goo.gl/dx2V1K

By Fred Zinkie   Mar. 9th, 2018

1. Gary Sanchez將灌進100分打點

捕手要單季三位數打點是很不常見的，過去八季只有2012年的Posey達成，而去年374其實
差點就辦到了，去年在躺了約一個月DL的狀況下，繳出33HR、90RBI成績單，可以在第二
選進他，享受首輪貨的產值。

Posting a triple-digit RBI total is a rare feat for a catcher. In fact, only
one player (Buster Posey in '12) in the past eight seasons has reached the
century mark while logging at least half of his games behind the plate. But
Sanchez is poised for a memorable year after collecting 33 homers and 90 RBIs
during a '17 campaign in which he spent nearly one month on the disabled
list. With the benefit of a hitter-friendly home park and a star-studded
supporting cast, the 25-year-old is going to provide first-round production
for those who grab him in Round 2.

2. Justin Upton拿下大聯盟打點王

當打線前端有一尾神鱒時，連衰退的普神都可以在過去四季平均打進105RBI，沒道理JUp
沒辦法刷更多。

Hitting behind Mike Trout is one of the best spots in baseball, as the
superstar outfielder possesses the perfect blend of on-base skills and speed
on the basepaths. By virtue of his proximity to Trout, Albert Pujols has
averaged 105 RBIs in the past four seasons despite posting a sub-.800 OPS in
each of those campaigns. With a lifetime .828 OPS (.901 last year), Upton
could top the RBI leaderboard while following new leadoff man Ian Kinsler and
Trout in the batting order.

3. Adam Eaton:國聯得分王

在國民恐怖打線(TT/哈波/山羊/Zimmerman)的加持下，Eaton的得分也會hen恐怖(Eaton
去年在膝傷提早報銷前，23戰得了24分)。

Although he's topped out at 98 runs scored during his six-year career, Eaton
could cross home plate 120 times this year as the leadoff man in a lineup
that includes Trea Turner, Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy and Ryan Zimmerman.
Before he suffered a season-ending knee injury last April, the outfielder had
scored 24 times in 23 games.

4. Delino DeShields:美聯盜壘王

轉換到美聯的Dee Gordon依然會持續發揮盜壘影響力，不過DeShields會是黑馬，他去年
在440個PA就跑出29盜，今年會有全職出賽機會，要起飛惹。

Mariners outfielder Dee Gordon may be the popular pick to lead the American
League in steals this season, but DeShields shouldn't be counted out. The
Rangers speedster swiped 29 bags across 440 plate appearances last year, and
he's now in possession of a full-time role.

5. Carlos Carrasco拿20勝、勇奪賽揚獎

去年首度單季200IP，18勝6敗、3.29 ERA的成績已經猛猛，今年會更殺，跟隊友Kluber、
Sale等人搶CY。

Carrasco posted his first 200-inning season in '17, going 18-6 with 226
whiffs and a 3.29 ERA. In a division with three rebuilding clubs, Carrasco
will enjoy many favorable matchups and should battle teammate Corey Kluber,
Chris Sale, Justin Verlander and Luis Severino for AL Cy Young honors.

6. Felipe Rivero:救援次數傲視全大聯盟

今年要超過40SV囉，敬請把握。

At first glance, owners will look at a retooling Pirates roster and assume
that Rivero is destined to post a middling saves total this year. But being
on a Rays club with a losing record (80-82) didn't stop Alex Colome from
leading the Majors in that department last season. Among the most effective
relievers in baseball (1.67 ERA, 0.89 WHIP in '17), Rivero could compile more
than 40 saves in '18.

7. 小熊陣中的救援王會是Carl Edwards Jr.

Morrow大概又要痛痛了，看好Carl Edwards Jr.的stuff能勝任愉快。

Although Brandon Morrow clearly has the skills to be a successful stopper, he
is prone to injuries and last logged more than 54 1/3 regular season innings
in '12. Moreover, the veteran endured a taxing workload in the '17
postseason, appearing in 14 of the Dodgers' 15 playoff games. If Morrow
misses significant time this year, Edwards -- who has held opposing hitters
to a minuscule .132 average during his career -- has the stuff to excel in
the ninth inning.

8. Andrew McCutchen打不到20轟

去年雖然有反彈，繳出28轟表現，不過巨人球場很難讓人樂觀..

After hitting 28 home runs last year, McCutchen was likely headed for
regression in that department even if he had stayed the Pirates. The veteran
averaged 23 round-trippers per season from '13-16, and last year's total was
inflated by several big performances -- including a trio of two-homer games
and one three-homer effort. San Francisco's home park suppresses power to an
even greater degree than Pittsburgh's, so McCutchen could have trouble
eclipsing 20 big flies in '18.

9. Ian Kinsler躍進成為fantasy的二壘手TOP 5

去年的BABIP小慘(.244)而且老虎打線沒力，轉到天使有機會來個110R。

After easily qualifying as a top 10 player at the keystone in '16, Kinsler
fell outside the top 20 last year. But a .244 BABIP and an underachieving
Tigers lineup were major factors behind the decline. With better batted-ball
luck and a spot atop an improved Angels order, the veteran -- who has
averaged 25 homers and 14 steals across the past two seasons -- will score
110 runs and make a substantial impact in shallow leagues.

10. 藍鳥整隊的得分會比去年多100分

年度  團隊得分  大聯盟排名
2015       891           1
2016       759           9
2017       693          26

藍鳥暴力打線要回歸啦！(Grichuk/Granderson/Solarte新同學衝衝衝)

Toronto led the Majors with 891 runs scored in '15 and ranked ninth the
following year (759). But the club plummeted all the way to 26th last season
(693), as a rash of injuries -- Josh Donaldson, Devon Travis, Russell Martin
and Troy Tulowitzki all missed significant time -- led to players such as
Ryan Goins, Darwin Barney and Ezequiel Carrera each appearing in more than
125 games. With improved health and the added depth from the acquisitions of
Randal Grichuk, Curtis Granderson and Yangervis Solarte, the Blue Jays will
produce some bounceback performances for fantasy owners this year.

--
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/MLB/M.1520690583.A.501.html
推 ray020507: 感覺都蠻合理
→ ualileigod: 很不罕見？rare feat直接翻成「相當稀有的表現」就好
→ ualileigod: 了說
推 karta328: 看到很不罕見疑惑了一下
感謝兩位!
這邊原本是要打"很不常見"，後來句子打到一半改掉結果沒注意到變成相反意思，已修正
推 CarlEdwards: 我扛Closer很奇怪嗎??
推 ymcheung: 推測都很合理阿 XD
推 blacklittle: 這些都不算大膽預測啊
推 Werth: Rivero的SVO會比去年少一些吧
推 Aaronko: 預測我基今年沒奪冠還比較大膽
推 AZBTPATONY: 沒很大膽阿 像我就預測馬林魚會在國東封王
→ klarc: 馬林魚在國東是封亡吧
→ andy880036s: 以下開放鄉民版大膽預測
推 Werth: 猜你雙差點就能拿到外卡...
推 HuanYuWu: 真的是蠻合理XD
推 Kobelephants: Edwards季後賽不是很雷
→ jim12441: 小艾德華是被Maddon操爆吧
推 MazdaRx7: Eaton能不能趕上開季阿~?
→ Werth: Eaton應該趕不上 現在還沒有春訓上場的時間表 不太樂觀
推 whhw: 樓上那你的工作呢
→ Alexander13: 不是去打摔角了嗎
推 yankeeslbj: JUp不可能打點王啦  應該是我基怪力男
推 OneCell: 有去年預測嗎XD
https://goo.gl/U9gVNX Carrasco連兩年上榜一樣的內容XD
推 curtismaniac: 374跟蔣開羅前面有園丁跟法官 神鱒也很難Carry Jup
→ curtismaniac: 到打點王吧 蔣開羅跟374一人就可以各自產50分打點
※ 編輯: andy880036s (1.162.178.240), 03/11/2018 00:47:04
推 kevin2002013: 去年的XD
推 RainyCity: 怎麼沒有大谷過譽
推 LeeJC: Edge已經退休進名人堂 Werth不用兼差了
→ JustinIdiot: 9 躍"回"
→ j50312: Carrascao會不會一直每年預測下去
推 JustinUpton: 打點王來囉~~~~~~~~~
推 nuggets0916: JDM應該也滿有機會拿打點王 紅襪前段上壘率很好
推 KerFel: nyy那組魯蛋會搶很凶XDDD
推 Shauter: Carrasco衝啊
→ MazdaRx7: Carrascao會不會每年被預測到退休呢
推 Scherzer31: 看了去年的 感覺這預測會是反指標XD
推 lupefan4eva: 我預測林智勝赴美拿全壘打王
推 linisthebest: 美聯賽揚V中吧