[外電] 七位黑馬MVP候選人

[wyner (外嫩)]

https://www.mlb.com/news/dark-horse-mlb-mvp-candidates


Mike Trout and Christian Yelich are back in a familiar place, all over the
MLB leaderboard, and they’d surprise no one by dominating this season's
voting for the American League and National League Most Valuable Player
Awards.

Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt are off to great starts and could
challenge Yelich in the NL, while in the AL, A’s third baseman Matt Chapman
could be Trout’s closest competitor. And then there are the dark-horse
candidates. Some of them have emerged, as well.

We haven’t had a dark-horse candidate named MVP since possibly Red Sox
second baseman Dustin Pedroia in 2008. Or maybe a better example is Braves
third baseman Terry Pendleton edging out Barry Bonds in a tight NL race back
in 1991.

Twins first baseman Justin Morneau also won a close race, edging out Yankees
shortstop Derek Jeter in the AL in 2006, a year that saw the top two
candidates separated by just 14 points (320-306) in voting.

Let’s look at seven emerging dark-horse MVP candidates for 2019:




Mike Trout跟Yelich這兩位大家熟悉的候選人又回來了

除此之外NL Cody Bellinger跟Paul Goldschmidt也是有力的競爭者

而AL 目前看來Matt Chapman 是Trout最接近的競爭者


要說近年最大的MVP黑馬或許非Pedroia莫屬、還有2006年的Morneau
(我：絕對是猛牛啦==)

以下列舉出可能的MVP 黑馬候選人


Luke Voit, 1B, Yankees 1B: He has been in the middle of the Yankee
turnaround, with three home runs and a 1.060 OPS during their recent six-game
winning streak, which ended Thursday. With so many core players on the shelf,
Voit's contributions have been invaluable. If Aaron Judge and Giancarlo
Stanton remain out for a while and Voit keeps on hitting, the narrative could
build around Voit. And remember, he posted a 1.095 OPS in 39 games with the
Yankees last year, which is looking less and less like a fluke.


近來表現很好的Voit，除了帳面成績還有適時補上Judge與Stanton受傷的缺口的貢獻

不要忘記去年Voit在39場比賽中有1.095的OPS，現在看來那表現不只是曇花一現



Paul DeJong, SS, Cardinals: He’s off to a tremendous start, hitting .346
with 17 extra-base hits as the Cardinals have sprinted into first place in
the NL Central. His 1.7 fWAR is tops among all MLB shortstops. Overall, he
trails only Bellinger and Yelich in the NL, and DeJong’s defense at
shortstop has been excellent. An up-the-middle player with power always makes
for a strong MVP case.


DeJong在fWAR緊追Bellinger與Yelich，1.7的fWAR也是MLB SS中最高的

同時DeJong在SS的防守也是非常優秀


Jorge Polanco, SS, Twins: His 1.033 OPS ranks fifth in the AL after the
Twins' win over the Orioles on Saturday, and his 1.3 fWAR is third behind
only Trout and Chapman. That’s how good Polanco has been. Still only 25,
Polanco is off to the best start of his career after reworking both his
mental approach and swing mechanics, as detailed by MLB.com's Mike Petriello
here.


Polanco的1.033 OPS是AL第15，且1.3 fWAR僅落後Trout與Chapman兩人

在改善Mental Approach與揮棒機制後，Polanco表現是前所未有的好


Fernando Tatis Jr., SS, Padres: Wow, that happened fast. This 20-year-old may
have transitioned from heralded prospect to legitimate MVP candidate in
record time. His transition has been no transition at all -- .896 OPS, six
home runs -- and his defense is better than anyone anticipated. Yes, he’s a
rookie, but Aaron Judge finished second as a rookie just two years ago, and
Ichiro famously won it as a rookie in 2001 (as well as Fred Lynn in 1975).


幾乎沒有適應期需要適應的小帝士、年僅20歲就打出.896 OPS

他的守備也比許多人預期的要更好，沒錯！他是個新人

但Judge不也是？Tatis Jr.或許有可能繼2001 一朗後再次同時拿下MVP與Roy



Austin Meadows, OF, Rays: Dark horse? He began this season with 191 Major
League plate appearances, and his numbers didn’t reveal someone on the verge
of a breakout season. He’s a big reason the Rays have MLB’s best record:
first in the AL in wRC+, wOBA and OPS. His challenge will be adjusting as
opponents poke and prod at is weaknesses. So far, so good. Though his recent
trip to the injured list definitely dings his chances. Thankfully, he won’t
need surgery and should be back soon.

(上段不知怎翻)
Meadows是光芒擁有MLB最佳戰績的原因，AL第一的wRC+, wOBA、OPS

他的挑戰是要應對對方針對他的弱點所做的針對、以及受傷

噢還好他不會躺太久，他很快就可以回到陣中了

Christian Walker, 1B, D-backs: It took a long time for him to find regular
playing time, but he has taken advantage of Paul Goldschmidt’s trade to the
Cardinals. He’s sixth in the NL in WAR, sixth in wRC+ and fifth in wOBA. His
defense at first base has been excellent. This one is a real longshot, but if
the D-backs stay in the race and he hits 40 homers, it’s hard to carve a
better MVP narrative than “replace franchise icon and carry team to a
playoff spot.”


等了好久終於有正常出賽機會的Christian Walker，完全填補了Goldschmidt離開的空缺

WAR、wRC+是NL第6、還有第15的wOBA，在一壘的防守也是相當傑出

雖然是個大膽的猜測，但如果真的打出40+的HR並帶領響尾蛇進季後賽

那MVP還有比他更適合的人選嗎？


Joc Pederson, Dodgers OF: If the Dodgers have an MVP, it’s almost certainly
going to be Cody Bellinger. To carve out playing time in a crowded and
talented Dodgers outfield says plenty about Pederson, who is 12th in the NL
in fWAR and 10th in wOBA and wRC+. If Bellinger cools down, and Pederson
stays hot, he could build a case. Remember, it wasn’t that long ago (2015)
when Pederson was all the rage in LA.


如果道奇會有MVP、那幾乎肯定是Cody Bellinger

為了要在天分滿出來的道奇外野有一席之地

Pederson有NL第12的fWAR、第10的wOBA與wRC+

如果Bellinger而且Pederson持續火熱那也不是不可能


--

隨便亂翻歡迎指教

這裡面Tatis Jr.應該是最不黑馬的、百大第二拿Roy ＋ MVP好像也還好

最浮誇我覺得是Luke Voit

Christian Walker的話其實看Statcast在Hard%、Brrls%都很出色



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頂尖領域的女性那麼少，都是父權遺毒害的？
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1vSyEc5HFVg

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※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/MLB/M.1556461573.A.F78.html
※ 編輯: wyner (140.113.10.146), 04/28/2019 22:27:05
推 mouz: 還沒五月耶...
推 baseballbin: Tim Anderson:？...(甩
推 JerryGreen: 太早......
推 xw668: 老實說 有在玩OOTP這種遊戲  噢甚至也不用 只要也常玩FB的
→ xw668: 玩家 對於棒球員這種短期的表現  幾乎都會很冷但面對
→ xw668: 不打個半季 實在沒有太多參考價值XD
推 jim12441: 才一個月就在舒服了
推 k22015987: 大旱
推 kingcharlie: 沒到接近整季都不準啦 法官前年那段大低潮不就拉了一
→ kingcharlie: 大截成績下來了
推 starcry: 看這篇才發現光芒戰績第一xd
推 Carmelo3: 前年的彈姆斯表示
→ JustinIdiot: 沒貓王給差評
噓 AZBTPATONY: Voit笑了 講笑話嗎？
推 pl1022: 大旱
推 wangwade: 去年的DiDi表示
推 KEDEN: Polanco之前不是有**的紀錄 就算他有機會可能也會影響觀感
→ bestteam: Voit能維持現在的表現就謝天謝地了
→ timidwei: 明星賽後再討論
推 l711470: Meadows 快回來吧！
推 nuggets0916: Tim Anderson 都還比較有機會
噓 ts012108: 太早了吧 去年DIDI這時候宇宙望眼過去都沒對手欸
推 phoenix286: 哪有 去年Betts一開始就不輸Didi了
→ kenkuo1688: Pederson MVP啊 只有右投才能上場
推 ramirez: 太早....
噓 azurbbb: ASG後再來說吧
→ saiulbb: 大旱!!! 不過還是可以看看拉!!!
推 iambiaggi: 勿舒服我基，屑屑
推 CarlosChaung: Voit能維持現在的表現 謝天謝地? 那是MVP水準耶
噓 skatekid: War呢
→ AHEAD099: Voit現在的成績根本差MVP還很遠 頂多all-star
→ eno03: 一舒服Tatis就傷退要照MRI了