[情報] John Sickels Top 20 Prospects for 2016

[shoting (平凡老百姓)]

http://goo.gl/GE5wH2

1) Edwin Diaz, RHP, Grade B: Age 21, posted 4.57 ERA with 103/37 K/BB in 104
innings in Double-A; ERA was deceptive, FIP was much better at 3.22; fastball
at 93-97 with peaks at 98, slider and change-up have steadily improved, both
solid-average at least and slider may be plus; control good, potential
mid-rotation starter. Do not underestimate him.

2) Alex Jackson, OF, Grade B/B-: Age 20, first round pick in 2014 was
supposed to be a polished power hitter but has not lived up to pre-draft
press clippings; 60-grade power but hitting approach very raw, hit just
.157/.240/.213 in 108 Low-A at-bats, then .239/.365/.466 with 61 strikeouts
in 163 at-bats after moving down to Northwest League. Most sources still rank
him as the top prospect in the system but at this point I prefer Diaz.
Jackson still offers big offensive upside and is young enough to solve his
contact and plate discipline issues, but these issues weren’t supposed to be
there in the first place.

3) Drew Jackson, SS, Grade B-/B: Age 22, hit .358/.432/.447 with 30 walks, 35
strikeouts, 47 steals in 226 at-bats in Northwest League; fifth round pick
out of Stanford had stunning debut; has always had strong tools including
60/65 speed and 70-arm but didn’t hit much before last year; swing tweaks
and emphasis on plate discipline vaulted him forward. Solid defender can
stick at short; future leadoff man if he keeps hitting like this. Could be
Top 100 prospect six months from now if he maintains this momentum, maybe
even Top 50.

4) Tyler O’Neill, OF, Grade B-/B: Age 20, hit .260/.316/.558 with 32 homers,
29 walks, 137 strikeouts in 407 at-bats in High-A; showed better plate
discipline late in the year; hit .286/.361/.659 with 19 walks in final 49
games; no question about power, all a matter of approach, several hitters in
the system have similar issues.

5) Nick Neidert, RHP, Grade B-: Age 19, second round pick in 2015 from high
school in Georgia, successful debut with 1.53 ERA, 23/9 K/BB in 35 innings,
92-95 MPH fastball from athletic 6-1, 180 frame; both curveball and change-up
can be above-average with more development, already throws strikes; number
four starter potential at least and perhaps a number three.

6) Andrew Moore, RHP, Grade C+/B-: Age 21, competitive balance pick out of
Oregon State, exceptional command/control, posted 2.08 ERA with stunning 43/2
K/BB in 39 innings in Northwest League; best pitch is change-up, fastball at
88-92 but plays up due to command; breaking stuff draws mediocre reviews but
I think it may be under-rated; limited physical upside but hard to match his
feel for pitching.

7) Luiz Gohara, LHP, Grade C+: Age 19, big 6-3, 210 lefty from Brazil with
fastball up to 95, slider varies from plus to poor, change-up needs work,
posted 5.54 ERA with 67/38 K/BB in 63 innings, 77 hits between Northwest
League and Low-A. Very raw, more thrower than pitcher right now, high upside,
high risk, could turn into number two starter or a total bust. Years away.

8) Boog Powell, OF, Grade C+: Age 23, hit .295/.385/.392 in Double-A/Triple-A
in Rays system, traded to Mariners in Brad Miller/Logan Morrison deal, ideal
fourth outfielder type with speed, good strike zone judgment, defense, not
much home run power. Some think he might hit enough to start but I think
bench role is more likely.

9) Ryan Yarbrough, LHP, Grade C+: Age 24, fourth round pick from Old Dominion
in 2014, posted 4.10 ERA with 88/23 K/BB in 97 innings between High-A and
some rookie ball rehab work after a groin injury; threw 87-89 in college but
up to 92-94 as a pro thanks to mechanical improvements, above-average
change-up, average breaking ball, throws strikes, fourth starter projection.

10) Nick Wells, LHP, Grade C+: Age 20, ultra-projection lefty (6-5, 185)
acquired from Blue Jays in Mark Lowe trade, posted 3.42 ERA with 47/15 K/BB
in 50 innings in short-season ball, just 36 hits, fastball around 91 should
get faster as he fills out, already has good curveball and workable
change-up, throws strikes, loose. Mid-rotation potential, do not overlook
him.

11) Tony Zych, RHP, Grade C+: Age 25, posted 2.98 ERA with 55/8 K/BB in 48
innings in Double-A/Triple-A; 2.45 ERA with 24/3 K/BB in 18 innings in
majors, former prospect in Cubs system struggled with Chicago but was much
more effective after being sold to Seattle; fastball in mid-90s, plus slider,
will be effective as long as he throws strikes.

12) Dan Altavilla, RHP, Grade C+: Age 23, posted 4.07 ERA with 134/53 K/BB in
148 innings in High-A; stocky 5-11, 200 pound build, lively 93-95 MPH
fastball, good slider, potential fourth starter or middle reliever; fifth
round pick in 2014 from Mercyhurst University.

13) Austin Wilson, OF, Grade C+: Age 24, hit .239/.342/.374 with 10 homers,
31 walks, 115 strikeouts in 380 at-bats in High-A. Looks bad, but hit great
in second half: .290/.393/.452, big offensive potential in 6-4, 250 body but
size leads to contact issues; can he make adjustments in Double-A?

14) Braden Bishop, OF, Grade C+: Age 22, third round pick from University of
Washington in 2015, hit .320/.367/.393 with five walks, 33 strikeouts, 13
steals in 219 at-bats in Northwest League; excellent fielding in center field
with instincts, range; 65-70 speed; big question is strike zone judgment as
he moves up. Could be regular if he adapts and develops more pop; could also
fit as fourth/fifth outfielder.

15) Jio Orozco, RHP, Grade C+: Age 18, 14th round pick from Arizona high
school in 2015; posted 2.95 ERA with 24/4 K/BB in 21 innings in rookie ball;
very advanced, mature body at 6-1, 210 but already throws 90-94, curve and
change-up very good for his age; good feel for his craft as well. Limited
physical projection but already has quality stuff.

16) Dylan Thompson, RHP, Grade C+: Age 19, fourth round pick in 2015 from
high school in South Carolina, 2.36 ERA with 25/8 K/BB in 26 innings in
rookie ball, 18 hits; more physically projectable than Orozco but breaking
ball and change-up are not as refined; both could be mid-rotation starters.

17) Cody Mobley, RHP, Grade C+: Age 19, posted 1.71 ERA in 26 innings in
rookie ball, 19/10 K/BB; eighth round pick in 2015 from high school in
Indiana; part of nice group of high school arms selected in the ’15 draft by
Mariners; 6-3, 190 and athletic; fastball at 90-94; already has very good
curveball. Like Thompson and Orozco, could develop into mid-rotation arm.

18) D.J. Peterson, 1B, Grade C+: First round pick in 2013; hit .223/.287/.344
with seven homers, 31 walks, 93 strikeouts in 372 at-bats in
Double-A/Triple-A; season ended early with Achilles injury; very
disappointing season; unable to duplicate big power production in college and
2014; reports indicate his swing fell apart. Several Mariners prospects had
similar issues; be interesting to see if this changes with new front office.

19) Paul Fry, LHP, Grade C+: Age 23, posted 2.03 ERA with 113/24 K/BB in 80
innings between High-A and Double-A; 68 hits; excellent stats on the season;
low-90s fastball with movement; good slider and average change-up; 17th round
pick in 2013 could be fine middle reliever.

20) Luis Liberato, OF, Grade C+: Age 20, Dominican Republic signee in 2012;
hit .260/.341/.453 with five homers, 24 walks, 47 strikeouts, 10 steals in
181 at-bats in Northwest League; interesting combination of slightly above
average power and speed; rather raw but has a chance to develop into
multi-tool regular.

OTHERS OF NOTE: Greifer Andrade, SS; Jonathan Aro, RHP; Rayder Ascanio, INF;
Jacob Brentz, LHP; Mayckol Guaipe, RHP; Guillermo Heredia, OF; Brayan
Hernandez, OF; Tyler Marlette, C; Gareth Morgan, OF; Tyler Pike, LHP; Dario
Pizzano, OF; Tyler Smith, SS; Christopher Torres, SS



最高是 B , DJP 18 Orz...

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※ 編輯: shoting (42.72.121.61), 03/14/2016 16:38:57
推 acd51874: 期待O'Neil
→ andynanpa: O'Neil如果這季在Jackson能有差不多的輸出那事情就會很
→ andynanpa: 有趣了
推 acd51874: 我對minor不太熟，只記得高A好像是打擊天堂
→ acd51874: 想請教咱們小聯盟各層級的球場及聯盟特性
推 andynanpa: 其實蠻好分的, acd大只要記得2個重點, 能在A,&Tacoma殺
→ andynanpa: 爆的投手, 和能在AA殺爆的打者, 大物率很高啊(XD)
→ andynanpa: 不過這幾年的AA Jackson還有個特性, 雖然本來就偏投手
→ andynanpa: 所以投手成績好洗, 但因為有怪博士(?)進駐, 上到Jackso
→ andynanpa: n的投手通常球速都會諾明其妙的上去. 這名單佔據第一的
→ andynanpa: Diaz就是例子, 去年我記得他Max好像才92....
推 andynanpa: 剛看到外電, 中二鬼聊到轉一圈又回家的王牌, "休季一開
→ andynanpa: 始我就告訴他, 我(們)需要你~~~我(們)需要你...(重複)"
→ andynanpa: .....看來王牌一開始去找躲人應該是被嚇跑的(XD)
推 andynanpa: 然後我們家現在的投手場上導師(上季最大受益者, 難波萬
→ andynanpa: ), 負責帶小鬼的也是王牌, 不是中二鬼(正確的選擇XD)
推 pjharper: 果然CP值才是王道～
→ acd51874: 王牌就在這裡待到大谷降臨吧XD
推 cd12631: Diaz變第一了!
→ shoting: MLBTR有篇 Out Of Options 2016
→ shoting: Rob Brantly 也沒Option了,所以接下來他可能又要換隊了XD