[新聞] BOE Shocks With First Rate Hike Since

[qk123 (qk123)]

原文標題：BOE Shocks With First Rate Hike Since Crisis to Combat Inflation
原文連結：https://reurl.cc/952Zmx
發布時間：Dec 16, 2021 07:09AM
原文內容：

(Bloomberg) -- The Bank of England raised interest rates for the first time
since the pandemic struck, setting aside the threat to the U.K. economy posed
by record coronavirus cases to lead the global fight against surging
inflation.

Officials led by Governor Andrew Bailey voted 8-1 to lift borrowing costs by
15 basis points to 0.25%, delivering an increase that no other Group of Seven
central bank has made since the start of the crisis. Silvana Tenreyro was the
sole dissenter. Policy makers said more “modest” tightening is likely to be
needed as inflation heads toward a peak likely to be around 6% in April.

The BOE’s precipitous shift into tightening mode will surprise the large
majority of economists who anticipated no change, and investors who were
pricing in around a 40% chance of a move. The outcome was the second in a row
featuring a surprise after November’s decision to stay on hold wrong-footed
financial markets.

The U.S. Federal Reserve already set a hawkish tone on the eve of the BOE
announcement by signaling three rate hikes next year and accelerating the
wind down of its stimulus program, while Norway kept up its own tightening
effort on Thursday with its second increase this year.

The BOE hike is a response to the danger posed by surging prices gains, with
a report this week showing inflation jumped to 5.1% in November -- more than
double the central bank’s target -- and a separate report Tuesday showing
U.K. companies added to payrolls at a record pace.

Considering that backdrop, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief European Economist
Jari Stehn told Bloomberg Television just hours earlier that an outcome of no
change was “not a done deal,” even though it was his main expectation.

The decision to move now is all the more remarkable since the country is in
the grips of a new coronavirus wave driven by the more infectious omicron
variant, which has pushed daily case loads in the U.K. to the highest
recorded total since the pandemic began.

The danger that poses in potentially overwhelming the country’s health
services is such that Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s government has
reintroduced some curbs on activity, with more possible in coming days and
weeks if the outbreak can’t be quelled.

By moving now, the BOE heeded a warning this week from the International
Monetary Fund, which cautioned against policy inaction on inflation.

The Fed’s shift on Wednesday underscores the level of alarm felt by some
global central bankers. It laid out a road map for a series of rate increases
over coming years as Chair Jerome Powell signaled that inflation is now enemy
No. 1 to keeping the U.S. economic expansion on track.

Later on Thursday, the European Central Bank is due to explain its own plan
for moving on from emergency stimulus. President Christine Lagarde has been
at pains however to persuade investors that a rate increase in the euro zone
isn’t going to happen any time soon.

心得/評論：

BoE 會是主流貨幣央行開第一槍的
其實也在市場預期之內
應該算已反應

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