作者Dumbledore (阿不要．鄧不利多)
看板Stock
標題[情報] 我川開放聆聽報價及關稅公式可能的來源
時間Fri Apr 4 08:06:16 2025
在華爾街沒事的大跌後
白宮發布了我川輕鬆愉快的照片
要大家相信川普總統的運籌帷幄
川普的首席貿易顧問在CNBC堅稱新關稅政策不是
美國作為與其他國家談判更佳貿易條款的工具。
Top Trump trade advisor Peter Navarro denied that Trump's new tariffs are being
used as a tool to negotiate better trade terms with other countries.
"This is not a negotiation," Navarro said on CNBC's "Closing Bell: Overtime."
"This is not that. This is a national emergency," he said.
— Kevin Breuninger
我川沒有按照白宮助理的堅持態度
在空軍一號上改口開放談判態度
After multiple White House aides insisted that the new tariffs were not a negoti
ation, Trump said he would be open to negotiating with other countries about the
duties.
Trump said he would be open to tariff talks with other counties if they offer so
mething phenomenal, Reuters reported him saying on Air Force One.
Top trade aide Peter Navarro told CNBC less than an hour earlier that the sweepi
ng tariffs are "not a negotiation."
— Kevin Breuninger
https://reurl.cc/AMOXgp
*其他報導指出川普在宣布關稅後外出打高爾夫球，並且對股市暴跌並不感到擔憂。
*在川普搭機前往佛州的路上，其他報載也提到川普做出開放聆聽其他國家報價的評論
https://i.imgur.com/LfEW2bN.jpeg
https://i.imgur.com/qFoFdeV.jpeg
另外，根據The Verge
川普讓經濟學者疑惑的新關稅公式有「可能」來自於人工智能的聊天機器人
Trump’s new tariff math looks a lot like ChatGPT’sChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, and C
laude all recommend the same “nonsense” tariff calculation.
其中一段
Where did these numbers come from? Apparently, an oversimplified calculation tha
t several major AI chatbots happen to recommend.
Economist James Surowiecki quickly reverse-engineered a possible explanation for
the tariff pricing. He found you could recreate each of the White House’s numb
ers by simply taking a given country’s trade deficit with the US and dividing i
t by their total exports to the US. Halve that number, and you get a ready-to-us
e “discounted reciprocal tariff.” The White House objected to this claim and p
ublished the formula it says that it used, but as Politico points out, the formu
la looks like a dressed-up version of Surowiecki’s method.
In case you weren’t sure, Surowiecki calls this approach “extraordinary nonsen
se.” So why did Trump’s team use it? Well, like plenty of people who’ve reali
zed their homework is due in three hours’ time, it seems like they may have bee
n tempted by AI.
https://i.imgur.com/2YsUwq3.png
https://i.imgur.com/wEo4uh9.png
https://i.imgur.com/ZbkzfyW.png
https://i.imgur.com/B97trHM.png
A number of X users have realized that if you ask ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, or Gr
ok for an “easy” way to solve trade deficits and put the US on “an even playi
ng field”, they’ll give you a version of this “deficit divided by exports” f
ormula with remarkable consistency. The Verge tested this with the phrasing used
in those posts, as well as a question based more closely on the government’s l
anguage, asking chatbots for “an easy way for the US to calculate tariffs that
should be imposed on other countries to balance bilateral trade deficits between
the US and each of its trading partners, with the goal of driving bilateral tra
de deficits to zero.” All four platforms gave us the same fundamental suggestio
n.
如果向ChatGPT、Gemini、Claude 或 Grok 詢問解決美國貿易逆差的“簡單”方法，使美國
處於“公平的競爭環境”，會得到一致「逆差除以出口」的公式。
The bots caution with varying levels of seriousness that there are tradeoffs and
complications. Gemini, the most strident of them, will give you a page full of
explanations as to why this oversimplified approach could backfire — “while th
is calculation offers a seemingly straightforward way to target bilateral trade
deficits, the real-world economic implications are far more complex and could le
ad to substantial negative consequences,” it warns, adding that “many economis
ts argue that tariffs are not an effective tool for balancing trade deficits.”
但是這些機器人也有解釋若以這樣簡單的結論來解決雙邊貿易逆差，會得到適得其反的結果
來源：
https://reurl.cc/LaMe0x
根據金融時報
我川可能很快會對晶片及藥品下手
https://reurl.cc/XAVxlD
--
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推 pondaha : 垃圾 04/04 08:07
推 p95649564 : 共和黨其他人躺著選了 04/04 08:07
推 alonzohorse : 空軍總司令 04/04 08:08
推 amazingwow : 半導體 生計 一個跑不掉？這麼兇 04/04 08:08
推 tonylolz : AI治國已經成真 04/04 08:12
推 tsubasawolfy: Intel跟GG合資公司該不會跟晶片稅一起上菜？ 04/04 08:13
推 Transposon : 天網代理人，下一步要發射核彈了吧 04/04 08:13
噓 MrStone : 不是談判工具又聽報價，把別人當成白癡嗎 04/04 08:14
推 stocktonty : 911看來要發生第二次了 04/04 08:14
推 IdolYang : 誰要送兩架飛機去川家 哈哈 04/04 08:18
推 fishweija : 真流氓 04/04 08:18
推 zero00072 : 艾倫川普：發動地鳴。 04/04 08:24
推 s881720 : AI治國 就是這麼簡單 04/04 08:25
噓 kimo6414 : 還問AI？幕僚是紙糊的嗎 04/04 08:29
推 fan415 : 戰爭要來了 04/04 08:30
推 iishoi : 共和黨爽死了，下次躺著選 04/04 08:30
推 benson502 : 股市就有是有錢人在投機的地方，川普根本不想鳥 04/04 08:32
噓 DSB520 : 白癡政權 小學生治國 04/04 08:34
→ puni52041 : 人為加速大蕭條… 04/04 08:34
推 getbacker : 窮人可以不在乎股市，但是過陣子看到衣服鞋子暴漲30 04/04 08:35
→ getbacker : %就知道這政策有多蠢了 04/04 08:35
推 lin8807819 : 底層的沒想到還有更底層 04/04 08:38
推 s505015 : 對晶片再課 台灣又要再一筆了嗎 04/04 08:39
噓 cosmite : 小學生治國 04/04 08:39
推 epicurious : 貝森特說，拜登股市創新高，他有選上嗎？不要以為 04/04 08:40
→ epicurious : 股市大跌川普會選不上好嗎 04/04 08:40
推 CRonaldo07 : 打小白球要跟果凍討債了 04/04 08:43
推 firemothra : AI危害到一堆既得利益者。公務員真的可以大裁員了 04/04 08:56
噓 CoachKuester: 垃圾惡霸 04/04 09:00
推 MrStone : 我就看你美國能撐多久 04/04 09:01
推 kinki999 : 五月關稅，台又雙贏了，對台吹來說 04/04 09:02
推 julian42 : 川普第二任沒有選不上的問題 04/04 09:02
推 rj486 : 貨都不出美國了你有看到嗎 04/04 09:04
推 cay86714 : 多蛙很氣很氣 04/04 09:10
推 TSMininder : 跌完後就沒事了 這道理我大概懂 04/04 09:29
→ easonli000 : 天網要消滅人類了 04/04 09:42
噓 arakikawa : 你川怎麼看都像個低能兒還一堆人吹 04/04 09:56