[情報] 93W TCFA <熱帶氣旋警報>

作者YuGar (深奧幽玄)

看板TY_Research

標題[情報] 93W TCFA <熱帶氣旋警報>

時間Mon Aug 6 19:59:00 2018

JTWC 93W TCFA http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9318.gif

▲ 好像會飄向北方，再觀察囉。原文如下：[ http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9318web.txt ] ============================================================================== WTPN21 PGTW 052030 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.4N 133.9E TO 23.7N 138.0E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 051900Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 134.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 133.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 134.1E, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION LOCATED OVER AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH BANDING BEGINNING TO WRAP IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. A 051818Z SSMI 85GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING WITH WEAK BANDING TO THE NORTHWEST AND CONFIRMS PERSISTENT CONVECTION OVER THE WEST HALF OF THE SYSTEM. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA OF GOOD TO MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-30 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS BUT VARY ON THEIR INTENSITY SOLUTIONS AND WHETHER OR NOT THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH, AND GETS ABSORBED BY 17W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 062030Z.// NNNN ============================================================================== ◇ 網址： http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 1.169.14.96 ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/TY_Research/M.1533556759.A.637.html

推 twPenn : 每個都待在大洋上好無聊啊 08/06 20:10

推 killseven : 下一個 08/06 20:33

推 jeffh : 胡瓜:下一位 08/06 20:42

推 chiy16 : 先別這樣這個有機會回馬槍 08/06 20:44

推 HellFly : https://i.imgur.com/m4rpDSw.png 08/06 21:18