作者YuGar (深奧幽玄)
看板TY_Research
標題[情報] 93W TCFA <熱帶氣旋警報>
時間Wed Sep 26 09:26:19 2018
JTWC 93W TCFA
http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9318.gif
▲ 今年的日本似乎快成了颱風必去的觀光景點。
原文如下：[
http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9318web.txt ]
==============================================================================
WTPN21 PGTW 251430
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 24.6N 154.7E TO 30.6N 149.4E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 250912Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 25.0N 154.2E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 17
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 21.3N 157.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 154.2E, APPROXIMATELY
705 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 251044Z MHS METOP-B 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICT CURVED DEEP
CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). A RECENT ASCAT PASS REVEALS 20-25 KNOT WINDS IN THE
NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE
(15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (29-31 CELSIUS) IN THE SURROUNDING AREA REMAIN
CONDUCIVE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON A POLEWARD
TRAJECTORY. GFS AND EUROPEAN MODELS INDICATE A SHORT LIVED SYSTEM,
TRANSITIONING TO EXTRATROPICAL IN 48-60 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
261430Z.//
NNNN
==============================================================================
◇ 網址：
http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 120.101.192.248
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/TY_Research/M.1537925183.A.E63.html
推 dunking : EC12z這報出現巴海共伴，顯示路徑不確定因素仍大 09/26 09:56
→ airua : 看會不會跟潭美一起關西二連發 09/26 10:03
推 taimali : 每個颱風都去日本？ 09/26 10:04
→ taimali : 日本也滿慘的 09/26 10:04
→ airua : 沒有每個吧 09/26 10:06
推 taimali : 我知道沒有每個啊，只是怎麼新系統就說會去日本 09/26 10:07
→ pcwu : 我10連假要去關西啊~~不要這樣~~ 09/26 10:18
推 dunking : 原來是93w 我看錯了，巴海是新系統 09/26 10:23
推 xhbomogl : 今年的颱風都好愛去日本跟中國 09/26 10:28
→ jasonccr : 94w編號 09/26 10:36
推 yikay : 這顆是不是對陸地影響不大 09/26 10:55
推 nolimits : 希望這隻後面不要有颱風了，雙十要去日本啊 09/26 11:59
推 noahlin : 這個季節的颱風很容易就往日本去了 09/26 12:22
推 successman : 不期不待了.. 09/26 12:48
→ wahaha2005 : JTWC 29W了，但會向北至東北偏北走，對陸地沒影響 09/26 17:21
推 LI40 : 話說29W是不是Olivia的殘餘？ 09/26 17:22
推 ddity : 覺得是Olivia的殘餘 加1 09/26 17:43
推 DanasYuri : 今年日本 中國颱風真多 09/26 18:58
推 evanzxcv : 如果是Olivia的殘渣那也太長壽，陰魂不散XD 09/26 19:02
