[爆料] 爵士下季即將面臨的外線課題

[dreamknitter (風が強く吹いている)]

原文網址：https://goo.gl/Cq3jNy
本文同步刊登於JazzNation.TW爵士國度：https://www.facebook.com/JazzNationTW/


Analysis: Utah Jazz will have issues with floor spacing next season
by Benjamin Mehic，《Deseret News》
◎分析：爵士下季即將面臨的外線課題


SALT LAKE CITY — For years (and really, decades), the Utah Jazz have prided
themselves on being a blue-collar team. If points were being scored, it was
happening from the paint. And if defensive stops were being made, it was
happening through sheer physicality.

在過去的十幾年裡，爵士一向以自身的藍領球風為傲：全神貫注且精力充沛的防守，以及
分分都來自禁區內拼搏奮鬥的進攻。


But the Jazz have adapted, even if the foundation of the team — a focus on
passing and defending — hasn’t.
As the league has become more perimeter-oriented, so have the Jazz.

但隨著聯盟的風氣逐漸轉變成以外圍投射為主，儘管這和球隊向來的基礎「傳球和防守」
大相逕庭，但爵士依然適應了這樣的變化。


Ever since the Jazz named Quin Snyder as head coach three years ago, the team
has become more interested in shooting from the outside.
In 2013-14, the Jazz were 24th in 3-point shots made per game. The season
after, the Jazz moved up six spots to 18th overall. In 2015-16, the Jazz were
16th, still slowly creeping up the shooting ranks. Then finally, in 2016-17,
the Jazz cracked the top half of the league, making the 13th most threes per
game.

從三年前Quin Snyder開始擔任爵士的總教練後，爵士開始增加了外圍投射的比例。
在2013-14的球季中，爵士每場的三分球命中數只在聯盟排第24名，2014-15的球季裡進步
了6名，排在全聯盟的第18名，隔年的2015-16球季則是第16名；爵士慢慢向上攀升，終於
在2016-17這個球季中來到了聯盟前半的第13名。


This summer, though, Utah lost two of the five players on their roster with
the highest likelihood to shoot the 3-point shot. Gordon Hayward (who led the
Jazz in 3-point shots made in 2016-17) and George Hill accounted for 10 of
the teams 26 attempts from deep on a game-by-game basis.

但在這個夏天，爵士失去了先發五人中最會投三分球的兩位球員—Gordon
Hayward(2016-17球季裡投進全隊最多的三分球)和George Hill，兩個人占了全隊每場26
次三分球出手中的10次。


Based purely on the losses Utah suffered this offseason (Hayward and Hill)
and the signings made — Ricky Rubio, Thabo Sefolosha and Jonas Jerebko —
 the Jazz are expected to make slightly over 22 threes per game, which would
place them among the three-worst shooting teams in the NBA. This, of course,
does not include the incoming production of Donovan Mitchell, who hasn’t
recorded any statistics so thus cannot be used in the projections.

爵士在季後的交易市場中失去了Hayward和Hill，得到Ricky Rubio、Thabo Sefolosha和
Jonas Jerebko，如果單純以過去數據來看，下季爵士全隊三分球出手數大概會是每場22
次又多一些，而這個數據在全聯盟是墊底的。(當然這個數據並沒有算上今年的新秀
Donovan Mitchell)


Utah’s identity — which, again, is predicated on a pass-first offense and
an intense defense, particularly the rim protection provided by Rudy Gobert —
 won’t shift, but the team’s overall effectiveness inevitably will.

也因此外界預期爵士在下季所呈現的風格，將再次轉變回「傳球優先的進攻」以及「高強
度積極的防守」；由於防守核心Rudy Gobert還在，球隊在保護籃框的方面不會有太大改
變，但整體表現來說不可避免地會有些變化。


With a lineup of Hill, Rodney Hood, Hayward, Derrick Favors and Gobert (the
team’s starting lineup last year), the Jazz had a spacing rating of 73.5.
That rating, which Nick Sciria created to measure the success of varying
lineups in terms of 3-point shooting, will dip to roughly 63.3 with the
lineup Snyder is expected to trot out next season, which consists of swapping
Hill out for Rubio and replacing Hayward with Hood in the starting lineup. If
the projection holds true, the Jazz would go from being one of the league’s
most efficient shooting teams to simply mediocre.

去年爵士擺出的先發陣容是George Hill、Rodney Hood、Gordon Hayward、Derrick
Favors和Rudy Gobert，這套陣容在spacing rating(*註1)上的表現是73.5%，但下一季在
面臨到Rubio代替Hill，而Snyder也打算讓Hood接替Hayward的主要攻擊手任務的情況下，
先發陣容的spacing rating將會下滑到只剩下63.3%。假使上述的預想成真，爵士將從全
聯盟進攻效率最高的隊伍之一，變成一支進攻效率不怎麼樣的隊伍。

*註1. Spcaing rating: Nick Sciria所提出，一種用來評估不同五人陣容在三分球方面
表現的一項數據，詳情可參考下列網址
https://fansided.com/2017/07/05/nylon-calculus-spacing-rating-timberwolves/


For the Jazz to realistically crack the top half of the league in threes made
again, they will need some miracles to happen. Rubio, a historically
unreliable shooter, must at least become average. Rubio made 60 threes last
season, 34 less than Hill made. Unless Rubio finally fixed his shot this
summer, it’s likely he won’t replace Hill’s output alone. Instead, Rubio
will have to find another way with his passing.

對好不容易在三分球命中數這方面爬上聯盟前半水準的爵士來說，他們需要一些奇蹟的發
生。投射是Rubio向來不太擅長的一環，因此期待他完全取代Hill在得分方面的貢獻是不
太可能的，Rubio要做的是用他的傳球來帶給球隊幫助。


As one of the NBA’s leaders in assists, Rubio will be called upon to create
offense in Utah more than ever. The ball is going to be in his hands every
possession. Finding Hood, who led the Jazz in threes attempted per game last
season, and Ingles will be Rubio’s offensive priority. If the targets (Hood,
Ingles, Mitchell, Joe Johnson and Alec Burks) aren’t hitting the shots
consistently, the offense will have to become more complicated, since
defenses will be looser on the perimeter, making life more difficult for
Gobert inside.

身為全聯盟最會傳球的後衛之一，Rubio勢必得扛起發動爵士進攻的工作。在每一波的進
攻中持球組織，優先找到Hood(去年平均每場三分球出手數為全隊第一)及Ingles。如果
Hood、瓝gles、Mitchell、Joe Johnson和Alec Burks都投不進的話，那就真的麻煩了。
當對手外圍的防守負擔減輕，Gobert在禁區受到的壓力就更大了。
(感謝CW4、cidcheng兩位版友的更正)

The Jazz wanted to find a couple of players known for their ability to knock
down the outside shot, but the options weren’t available. Sefolosha, Jerebko
and Rubio are all somewhat versatile and have “Jazz DNA.”
However, none of them will push the Jazz enough to keep their recent trend of
increased shooting going. It will be up to the players that were already on
the roster, like Hood and Ingles, to make up for what the Jazz lost this
summer.

爵士曾試著找來一些能在外圍進行投射的球員，但都徒勞無功。Sefolosha、Jerebko和
Rubio都是多功能型的球員，也都是爵士一向喜歡的球員類型；但恐怕他們都無法讓球隊
保持在外圍投射方面不斷進步的趨勢。爵士需要陣中其他老面孔(如Hood或Ingles)跳出來
，才有機會彌補球隊在這個夏天的損失。


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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 1.165.122.76
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/UTAH-JAZZ/M.1502175119.A.B3D.html
推 a1223356: 外圍防守有下滑嗎？
→ Actus: Favors for 333333333！
→ dreamknitter: 原文提到說外圍防守下滑這點我也很疑惑XD
噓 FAYeeeeeeee: 丹丹呢？
推 CW4: 那段前後文應該是說如果Rubio傳球的對象無法穩定的投進球，進
→ CW4: 攻將變的複雜，因為防守方將不用黏在弧頂，會讓狗貝在禁區過
→ CW4: 的更辛苦
噓 kaikai1112: 丹丹  跟 唐老大  會是下季外圍投射的大變數........
推 cidcheng: 噢，那段是說射手都投不進的話，對手可以內縮
→ cidcheng: 可是哪有人假設射手全部失靈的 XD 哪一隊全失靈不是這樣
→ cidcheng: 看了一下，原文應該是說如果射手表現不穩定，會讓狗貝
→ cidcheng: 打得很辛苦
噓 cidcheng: 我盧保持去年下半的表現是非常重要的課題
→ dreamknitter: 多謝樓上各位大大! 我誤解語意了!!
※ 編輯: dreamknitter (1.165.122.76), 08/08/2017 17:20:37
推 jeromeshih: 只是擔心會不會回到之前大家傳炸彈卻沒人解的情況
推 illidan23: 讓人擔心的是Rubio下半季準的是中距離,三分還是鳥
推 cidcheng: 不對喔，他明星賽後三分球有三成五，已經不太會被放
推 illidan23: 以他獲得的空擋，三分球三成五我是覺得鳥鳥的
→ illidan23: 倒是他的中距離如果維持住 PnR會很有威脅
推 aodn: 防守很不行的TB都可以靠著跟當時健康的fav還有擋拆還沒那麼
→ aodn: 行的狗背玩出不錯的進攻,如果盧小比來了,Q還是維持去年那種
→ aodn: 側翼發起的攻撃模式,那真的是浪費人才
→ taxi777: 再打側翼發動大概就表示Q沒料了
噓 cidcheng: 前幾篇有說Rubio跟Q談過而且覺得適合他
→ cidcheng: 大家不要太悲觀啦 XD
推 DK47: 推推粉專新小編！
噓 taxi777: 新小編推推!!!!!!