[情報]Next Best Picture 95th 奧斯卡 入圍預測

[toebb (玫瑰色鍊金術)]

知名電影網站 Next Best Picture (NBP) 公佈了最新的《2022 第95屆 奧斯卡金像獎 OS
CARs》各項大獎入圍預測排名，每個獎項皆選出了票數最高的10部電影。
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https://i.imgur.com/o96tWH9.jpg
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 以下是 Next Best Picture 工作人員對 2022 年奧斯卡的預測！ 排名會更新，直到年
底。 準確性將在 2023 年 3 月 12 日第 95 屆奧斯卡頒獎典禮上宣布獲獎者後計算。

https://reurl.cc/jGQrLM

https://i.imgur.com/ClPD4xn.jpg
＊最佳影片 Best Picture

1        法貝爾曼 / THE FABELMANS
2       巴比倫 / BABYLON
3       與女人們的對話 / WOMEN TALKING
4       詩人 / BARDO
5       光之帝國 / EMPIRE OF LIGHT
6       THE SON
7       媽的多重宇宙 / EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
8       捍衛戰士：獨行俠 / TOP GUN: MAVERICK
9       她有話要說 / SHE SAID
10      TAR

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https://i.imgur.com/ClPD4xn.jpg
＊最佳導演 Best Director

1        Steven Spielberg (THE FABELMANS)
2       Damien Chazelle (BABYLON)
3       Sarah Polley (WOMEN TALKING)
4       Alejandro G. Inarritu (BARDO)
5       Park Chan-wook (DECISION TO LEAVE)

6       Sam Mendes (EMPIRE OF LIGHT)
7       Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
8       Florian Zeller (THE SON)
9       Todd Field (TAR)
10      Ruben Ostlund (TRIANGLE OF SADNESS)

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https://i.imgur.com/zz0YMob.jpg
＊最佳女主角 Best Actress

1        Margot Robbie (BABYLON)
2       Cate Blanchett (TAR)
3       Olivia Colman (EMPIRE OF LIGHT)
4       Michelle Yeoh (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
5       Naomi Ackie (I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODY)

6       Danielle Deadwyler (TILL)
7       Ana de Armas (BLONDE)
8       Carey Mulligan (SHE SAID)
9       Viola Davis (THE WOMAN KING)
10      Emma Thompson (GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE)

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https://i.imgur.com/M6ngKYY.jpg
＊最佳男主角 Best Actor

1        Hugh Jackman (THE SON) 
2       Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
3       Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4       Daniel Gimenez Cacho (BARDO)
5       Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)

6       Bill Nighy (LIVING)
7       Song Kang-ho (BROKER)
8       Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
9       Diego Calva (BABYLON)
10      Micheal Ward (EMPIRE OF LIGHT)

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https://i.imgur.com/ClPD4xn.jpg
＊最近佳女配角 Best Supporting Actress

1        Michelle Williams (THE FABELMANS)
2       Jessie Buckley (WOMEN TALKING)
3       Laura Dern (THE SON)
4       Sadie Sink (THE WHALE)
5       Vanessa Kirby (THE SON)

6       Stephanie Hsu (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
7       Samantha Morton (SHE SAID)
8       Kerry Condon (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
9       Greta Gerwig (WHITE NOISE)
10      Griselda Siciliani (BARDO)

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https://i.imgur.com/ClPD4xn.jpg
＊最佳男配角 Best Supporting Actor

1        Paul Dano (THE FABELMANS)
2       Ke Huy Quan (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
3       Brendan Gleeson (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4       Zen McGrath (THE SON)
5       Brad Pitt (BABYLON)

6       Ben Whishaw (WOMEN TALKING)
7       Judd Hirsch (THE FABELMANS)
8       Woody Harrelson (TRIANGLE OF SADNESS)
9       Barry Keoghan (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
10      Don Cheadle (WHITE NOISE)

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https://i.imgur.com/ClPD4xn.jpg
＊最佳原創配樂 Best Original Score

1       THE FABELMANS
2       BABYLON
3       EMPIRE OF LIGHT
4       WOMEN TALKING
5       AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER

6       THE BATMAN
7       TAR
8       GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO
9       TOP GUN: MAVERICK
10      BARDO

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https://i.imgur.com/DWqHcv7.jpg
＊最佳原創歌曲 Best Original Song

1        TOP GUN: MAVERICK ("Hold My Hand")
2       TURNING RED ("Nobody Like U")
3       RRR ("Naatu Naatu")
4       EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE ("This Is A Life")
5       WHERE THE CRAWDADS SING ("Carolina")

6       BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER ("Untitled")
7       MARRY ME ("On My Way")
8       AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER ("Untitled")
9       GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO ("Untitled")
10      WHITE NOISE ("New Body Rhuma")

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https://i.imgur.com/gua506H.jpg
＊最佳混音 Best Sound

1        TOP GUN: MAVERICK
2       AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
3       THE BATMAN
4       BABYLON
5       ELVIS

6       EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
7       BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
8       BARDO
9       NOPE
10      THE FABELMANS

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https://i.imgur.com/fPHdo71.jpg
＊最佳改編劇本 Best Adapted Screenplay

1        WOMEN TALKING (Sarah Polley)
2       THE SON (Christopher Hampton, Florian Zeller)
3       THE WHALE (Samuel D. Hunter)
4       WHITE NOISE (Noah Baumbach)
5       SHE SAID (Rebecca Lenkiewicz)

6       GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)
7       TILL (Chinonye Chukwu, Michael Reilly, Keith Beauchamp)
8       THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (Martin McDonagh)
9       LIVING (Kazuo Ishiguro)
10      BONES & ALL (David Kajganich)

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https://i.imgur.com/ClPD4xn.jpg
＊最佳原創劇本 Best Original Screenplay

1        THE FABELMANS (Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner)
2       BABYLON (Damien Chazelle)
3       EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE (Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert,)
4       BARDO (Nicolas Giacobone, Alejandro G. Inarritu)
5       TRIANGLE OF SADNESS (Ruben Ostlund)

6       EMPIRE OF LIGHT (Sam Mendes)
7       TAR (Todd Field)
8       THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (Martin McDonagh)
9       DECISION TO LEAVE (Park Chan-wook, Seo-kyeong Jeong)
10      AFTERSUN (Charlotte Wells)

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https://i.imgur.com/7EfyWCv.jpg
＊最佳動畫片 Best Animated Feature

1        GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO
2       STRANGE WORLD
3       TURNING RED
4       WENDELL AND WILD
5       THE BAD GUYS

6       MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON
7       MY FATHER'S DRAGON
8       THE SEA BEAST
9       LIGHTYEAR
10      APOLLO 10?: A SPACE AGE CHILDHOOD

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https://i.imgur.com/HBTLpKL.jpg
＊最佳紀錄片 Best Documentary Feature

1        NAVALNY
2       DESCENDANT
3       FIRE OF LOVE
4       MOONAGE DAYDREAM
5       THE TERRITORY

6       ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED
7       SIDNEY
8       GOOD NIGHT OPPY
9       ALL THAT BREATHES
10      BLACK ICE

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https://i.imgur.com/AxCiFqq.jpg
＊最佳國際影片 Best International Feature

1        BARDO (Mexico)
2       DECISION TO LEAVE (Korea)
3       BROKER (Japan)
4       CLOSE (Belgium)
5       ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Germany)

6       RRR (India)
7       HOLY SPIDER (Denmark)
8       ATHENA (France)
9       EO (Poland)
10      GODLAND (Iceland)

．

https://i.imgur.com/AxCiFqq.jpg
＊最佳攝影 Best Cinematography

1        BARDO (Darius Khondji)
2       BABYLON (Linus Sandgren)
3       EMPIRE OF LIGHT (Roger Deakins)
4       THE FABELMANS (Janusz Kaminski)
5       AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER (Russell Carpenter)

6       TOP GUN: MAVERICK (Claudio Miranda)
7       THE BATMAN (Greig Fraser)
8       BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER (Autumn Durald Arkapaw)
9       TAR (Florian Hoffmeister)
10      NOPE (Hoyte Van Hoytema)

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https://i.imgur.com/zz0YMob.jpg
＊最佳服裝設計 Best Costume Design

1        BABYLON
2       ELVIS
3       THE FABELMANS
4       BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
5       THE WOMAN KING

6       MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS
7       BLONDE
8       EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
9       DON'T WORRY DARLING
10      THREE THOUSAND YEARS OF LONGING

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https://i.imgur.com/F0Vd27b.jpg
＊最佳影片剪輯 Best Film Editing

1        EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
2       TOP GUN: MAVERICK
3       BABYLON
4       THE FABELMANS
5       BARDO

6       THE SON
7       EMPIRE OF LIGHT
8       WOMEN TALKING
9       AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
10      ELVIS

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https://i.imgur.com/zz0YMob.jpg
＊最佳妝髮 Best Production Design

1        BABYLON
2       AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
3       THE FABELMANS
4       ELVIS
5       BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER

6       BARDO
7       EMPIRE OF LIGHT
8       THE BATMAN
9       EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
10      THREE THOUSAND YEARS OF LONGING

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https://i.imgur.com/VT5rO9L.jpg
＊最佳視覺特效 Best Visual Effects

1        AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
2       TOP GUN: MAVERICK
3       THE BATMAN
4       BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
5       EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

6       DOCTOR STRANGE IN THE MULTIVERSE OF MADNESS
7       GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO
8       NOPE
9       BARDO
10      THOR: LOVE AND THUNDER

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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 114.39.210.234 (臺灣)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/movie/M.1662089861.A.296.html
※ 編輯: toebb (114.39.210.234 臺灣), 09/02/2022 11:40:57
推 qpr322      : 現在預測基本上根本只是盲測啊XDD 幾乎都還沒首映，
→ qpr322      : 頂多內部試映而已
推 protess     : 最佳男主那邊有亂碼
※ 編輯: toebb (114.39.210.234 臺灣), 09/02/2022 11:49:27
→ protess     : 還有原創劇本和攝影
推 tim200513   : 大旱了啦…
→ toebb       : 改好了，謝謝你！有些外文沒改到><
推 lgng66133   : 大旱
推 sophia126a  : 很多都還沒上欸也太快預測XD
推 Grrr        : BARDO已經接近出局了
→ tools       : 分手的決心有那麼猛嗎 我覺得中段蠻無聊的阿
推 s155352     : 想看楊紫瓊入圍影后
推 nanachi     : 分手的決心至少入圍最佳國際影片沒問題
推 sleepyrat   : 希望楊紫瓊可以入圍，然後上台甩黑人巴掌~~
推 jumper      : 現在這時間點的預測就是看導演牌子大就先列上去
推 sunsirr     : 今年這麼早開始預測喔
→ sunsirr     : Sadie Sink!!!!! Max !!!!
→ sunsirr     : 想看紫窮入圍+1
→ protess     : 原創劇本那邊還沒改到喔
推 salvador1988: 希望楊紫瓊入圍+1
※ 編輯: toebb (42.74.150.62 臺灣), 09/02/2022 13:22:47
推 qpr322      : Bardo 評價不如預期，但我猜學院應該還是買帳會進
→ qpr322      : 國際影片吧，記得當初無主之作在威尼斯評價也不好，
→ qpr322      : 後來獎季就被捧起來。
推 yumenemu610 : 期待費雪那部
推 vince4687   : 湯唯連前十都沒
推 kooyoo1144  : 期待babylon
推 KYLAT       : 楊和關都很有機會入圍啊
推 w6422613    : 期待巴比倫
推 hc930047    : 不曉得今年在多倫多首映的 The Lost King聲勢如何
推 mach1210    : 獨行俠入圍比多重宇宙穩超多吧
推 henry2101010: 期待分手的決心！
推 f40075566   : 期待分手決心拿下最佳外語片
→ calculus9   : Broker不會進吧
推 oscarwu3041 : 楊紫瓊+1
推 wengho      : RRR 加油
推 a9a99       : 如果楊紫瓊入圍 是第一個入圍女主角的亞洲演員?
→ a9a99       : 有點好奇 第七個男主角是誰?
推 joey0602    : 凱特布蘭琪TAR在威尼斯影展大受好評，要衝第二座奧
→ joey0602    : 斯卡影后了？
推 firewulala  : 分手的決心國際影片入圍沒問題
→ hp8232      : 嬰兒轉運站可以代表日本哦？
推 qpr322      : 不行，只能代表韓國，但韓國沒選，不過是今年美國上
→ qpr322      : 映，還是可以角逐一般獎項